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Fuzzy risk matrix
Adam S Markowski1, M Sam Mannan
1Process Safety and Ecological Division, Faculty of Process and Environmental Engineering Technical University of Lodz, 90-924 Lodz, ul. Wolczanska 213, Poland. markowski@wipos.p.lodz.pl
Abstract:
A risk matrix is a mechanism to characterize and rank process risks that are typically identified through one or more multifunctional reviews (e.g., process hazard analysis, audits, or incident investigation). This paper describes a procedure for developing a fuzzy risk matrix that may be used for emerging fuzzy logic applications in different safety analyses (e.g., LOPA). The fuzzification of frequency and severity of the consequences of the incident scenario are described which are basic inputs for fuzzy risk matrix. Subsequently using different design of risk matrix, fuzzy rules are established enabling the development of fuzzy risk matrices. Three types of fuzzy risk matrix have been developed (low-cost, standard, and high-cost), and using a distillation column case study, the effect of the design on final defuzzified risk index is demonstrated.
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