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[Study on the relationship between air temperature and daily mortality in Minhang district, Shanghai]
Ying Dong1, Nai-Qing Zhao, Jun-Ke Tang
1Department of Preventive Medicine, Shanghai University of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Shanghai 201203, China.
Objective:
To assess the association between air temperature and mortality in Minhang district, Shanghai.
Methods:
Generalized additive model (GAM) to analyze time series was used. After controlling for medium-term and long-term trends,date in the week,situation of air pollution etc., this study estimated the association in virtue of quadratic curve and differential coefficient principle.
Results:
The study was able to estimate an optimum temperature range (11.67 degrees C-20.71degrees C) by relative risk and 95% confidence interval of deaths with air temperature variation. The mortality in Minhang district, Shanghai increased along with the fluctuation of temperature deviating from this range.
Conclusion:
The findings from our study indicated that the current air temperature had an acute effect on mortality in Minhang district, Shanghai.
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