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Decision-making using absolute cardiovascular risk reduction and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios: a case study
J A Ker1, H Oosthuizen, P Rheeder
1Department of Internal Medicine, School of Medicine, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Pretoria, Pretoria, South Africa.
Insights
This study modeled cardiovascular risk reduction strategies using the Framingham risk score. High-dose statins offered the most cost-effective risk reduction per percentage point.
Area of Science:
- Cardiovascular Risk Assessment
- Health Economics
- Pharmacoeconomics
Background:
- Clinical guidelines increasingly use multifactorial assessment for cardiovascular risk identification.
- The Framingham risk score is a common tool for calculating absolute cardiovascular risk.
- Cost-effectiveness analysis is crucial for evaluating treatment strategies, but can be complex for clinicians.
Purpose of the Study:
- To model the impact of various drug treatments on absolute cardiovascular risk using a simulated patient.
- To compare the cost-effectiveness of different therapeutic strategies for cardiovascular risk reduction.
Main Methods:
- Calculated the Framingham risk score for a hypothetical patient.
- Initiated drug treatments sequentially and recalculated the risk score after each intervention.
- Utilized South African single-exit drug pricing to determine the cost per percentage of cardiovascular risk reduction.
Main Results:
- Antihypertensive therapy yielded a cost-effectiveness ratio of R21.35 per % risk reduction.
- Statin therapy showed a ratio of R22.93 per % risk reduction, while high-dose statins were R12.81 per % risk reduction.
- Combined therapies and multi-drug regimens offered varying cost-effectiveness, with one combination achieving R17.18 per % risk reduction.
Conclusions:
- The study presents a model for comparing the cost-effectiveness of diverse cardiovascular risk reduction strategies.
- This approach aids clinicians in evaluating therapeutic options based on cost per unit of risk reduction.
Background:
Many clinical guidelines have adopted a multifactorial cardiovascular risk assessment to identify high-risk individuals for treatment. The Framingham risk chart is a widely used risk engine to calculate the absolute cardiovascular risk of an individual. Cost-effective analyses are typically used to evaluate therapeutic strategies, but it is more problematic for a clinician when faced with alternative therapeutic strategies to calculate cost effectiveness.
Aim:
We used a single simulated-patient model to explore the effect of different drug treatments on the calculated absolute cardiovascular risk.
Methods:
The Framingham risk score was calculated on a hypothetical patient, and drug treatment was initiated. After every drug introduced, the score was recalculated. Single-exit pricing of the various drugs in South Africa was used to calculate the cost of reducing predicted cardiovascular risk.
Results:
The cost-effective ratio of an antihypertensive treatment strategy was calculated to be R21.35 per percentage of risk reduction. That of a statin treatment strategy was R22.93 per percentage of risk reduction. U sing a high-dose statin, the cost-effective ratio was R12.81 per percentage of risk reduction. Combining the antihypertensive and statin strategy demonstrated a cost-effective ratio of R23.84 per percentage of risk reduction. A combination of several drugs enabled the hypothetical patient to reduce the risk to 14% at a cost-effective ratio of R17.18 per percentage of risk reduction.
Conclusion:
This model demonstrates a method to compare different therapeutic strategies to reduce cardiovascular risk with their cost-effective ratios.
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