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Spatial patterns in a discrete-time SIS patch model
L J S Allen1, Y Lou, A L Nevai
1Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Texas Tech University, Lubbock, TX 79409-1042, USA.
Journal of Mathematical Biology
|June 13, 2008
Summary
Infectious disease spread depends on habitat risk, connectivity, and movement. High-risk areas always sustain disease, while low-risk areas may become disease-free with reduced movement.
Area of Science:
- Epidemiology
- Mathematical Biology
- Spatial Ecology
Background:
- Infectious disease dynamics are influenced by spatial factors.
- Understanding how habitat characteristics and population movement affect disease spread is crucial.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the combined effects of spatial heterogeneity, habitat connectivity, and movement rates on infectious disease spatial patterns.
- To analyze a discrete-time SIS patch model to understand disease persistence and spatial distribution.
Main Methods:
- Formulation and analysis of a discrete-time SIS patch model.
- Characterization of patches as low-risk or high-risk based on local disease parameters.
- Analysis of endemic equilibrium (EE) and disease-free equilibrium (DFE) under varying mobility rates.
Main Results:
- Disease persistence differs between low-risk and high-risk habitats.
- In low-risk habitats, disease persists below a mobility threshold; in high-risk habitats, it always persists.
- The endemic equilibrium approaches a spatially inhomogeneous disease-free equilibrium as susceptible mobility decreases.
Conclusions:
- Habitat risk (low vs. high) significantly impacts disease persistence and spatial patterns.
- Sufficient conditions for disease eradication in high-risk patches can be determined by transmission, recovery, connectivity, and infected movement rates.
- The model provides insights into disease dynamics in heterogeneous environments.
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