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Related Experiment Video

Updated: Jul 4, 2026

Assessing Intertidal Populations of the Invasive European Green Crab
06:48

Assessing Intertidal Populations of the Invasive European Green Crab

Published on: September 16, 2020

Shifting global invasive potential of European plants with climate change.

A Townsend Peterson1, Aimee Stewart, Kamal I Mohamed

  • 1Natural History Museum and Biodiversity Research Center, The University of Kansas, Lawrence, Kansas, United States of America. town@ku.edu

Plos One
|June 19, 2008
PubMed
Summary
This summary is machine-generated.

Global climate change impacts invasive species. Ecological niche models show future climate shifts will alter plant species

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Last Updated: Jul 4, 2026

Assessing Intertidal Populations of the Invasive European Green Crab
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Published on: September 16, 2020

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08:39

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Published on: October 28, 2022

Area of Science:

  • Ecology and Climate Change Research
  • Invasive Species Modeling
  • Biodiversity and Conservation

Background:

  • Global climate change and nonnative species invasions are major drivers of biodiversity loss.
  • The combined effects of climate change and species invasions on biological loss are poorly understood.
  • Previous research has largely addressed these issues independently.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To model the global distribution of European flora under future climate scenarios.
  • To investigate the joint effects of climate change and invasive potential of plant species.
  • To forecast potential shifts in species distribution and invasive risk.

Main Methods:

  • Developed ecological niche models for 1804 European plant species.
  • Projected species distributions globally under four future climate scenarios (2055).
  • Utilized CGCM1 and HadCM3 climate models with a2 and b2 emissions scenarios.

Main Results:

  • Climate model and emissions scenarios showed varying degrees of projection extremity.
  • Projected changes in distributional areas were nonlinear and continent-specific.
  • Increased distributional potential in Europe often correlated with decreased potential elsewhere.

Conclusions:

  • Global climate change will exert complex influences on the invasive potential of plant species.
  • Significant shifts in species' invasive potential are expected across continents.
  • Biological communities face dramatic reorganizations due to altered invasive dynamics.