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A Machine Learning Approach to Design an Efficient Selective Screening of Mild Cognitive Impairment
Published on: January 11, 2020
Mild cognitive impairment in the general population: occurrence and progression to Alzheimer disease
Katie Palmer1, Lars Bäckman, Bengt Winblad
1Aging Research Center, Karolinska Institutet, and Stockholm Gerontology Research Center, Stockholm, Sweden. katie.palmer@ki.se
Objectives:
Our aims were to 1) detect the occurrence of three mild cognitive impairment (MCI) subtypes in the general population; 2) identify cases of cognitive impairment which are not detected by current operational criteria for MCI and; 3) determine the predictive value of the subtypes for identifying future Alzheimer disease (AD).
Design:
Three-year prospective study.
Setting:
Population-based Swedish study, the Kungsholmen Project.
Participants:
Three hundred seventy-nine nondemented older adults aged 75-95.
Measurements:
Standard plus modified MCI criteria were applied at baseline. In the modified definitions, the requirement for normal general cognition was removed. A category for persons without MCI who had only global cognitive deficits was added. Three-year progression to AD was assessed (DSM-III-R criteria).
Results:
Occurrence per 100 nondemented persons of MCI-amnestic, MCI-multidomains, and MCI-single-nonmemory was 2.1%, 1.8%, and 7.2%, respectively. When applying modified definitions for MCI-amnestic and MCI-multidomains, the occurrence almost doubled. Seven percent of the sample had impairment on a global cognitive task but performed at normal levels on all other domain-specific tasks. MCI-multidomains showed the highest progression to AD (hazard ratio [HR]: 23.6, 9.3-60.1). MCI-amnestic reached similar predictivity only when using the modified definition (HR: 17.9, 6.8-46.9). Even participants without MCI who had only global deficits had a ninefold risk of AD (HR: 9.1, 2.8-29.4).
Conclusions:
Two-thirds of MCI-multidomains, but only half of MCI-amnestic progress to AD. The standard MCI criteria failed to identify those people with global cognitive deficits who have, however, a high risk of progressing to AD.
Insights
Modified criteria for mild cognitive impairment (MCI) identify more cases and predict Alzheimer's disease (AD) risk. MCI-multidomains showed the highest progression to AD, highlighting the need for refined diagnostic approaches.
Area of Science:
- Neurology
- Gerontology
- Cognitive Science
Background:
- Mild cognitive impairment (MCI) subtypes require better population-level detection.
- Current MCI criteria may miss individuals at high risk for Alzheimer's disease (AD).
- Understanding MCI subtype progression is crucial for early AD intervention.
Purpose of the Study:
- To detect the prevalence of three MCI subtypes in the general population.
- To identify cognitive impairment cases missed by current MCI criteria.
- To determine the predictive value of MCI subtypes for future Alzheimer's disease.
Main Methods:
- A three-year prospective, population-based study (Kungsholmen Project) in Sweden.
- Inclusion of 379 non-demented adults aged 75-95.
- Application of standard and modified MCI criteria, with modified definitions removing the normal general cognition requirement and adding a category for global cognitive deficits without MCI.
Main Results:
- Prevalence rates per 100 non-demented individuals: MCI-amnestic (2.1%), MCI-multidomains (1.8%), MCI-single-nonmemory (7.2%).
- Modified MCI definitions nearly doubled the occurrence of MCI-amnestic and MCI-multidomains.
- MCI-multidomains demonstrated the highest progression to AD (HR: 23.6), followed by modified MCI-amnestic (HR: 17.9). Individuals with global deficits but no MCI also showed a ninefold increased risk (HR: 9.1).
Conclusions:
- MCI-multidomains and MCI-amnestic subtypes show significant progression to Alzheimer's disease.
- Modified diagnostic criteria are essential for capturing individuals at high risk, including those with global cognitive deficits but not meeting standard MCI criteria.
- Current standard MCI criteria may underestimate the population at risk for AD.
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