Is there a way to predict outcome in (near) term neonates with hypoxic-ischemic encephalopathy based on MR imaging?

It has previously been demonstrated that comparison of signal intensity (SI) between selected brain structures on T1-weighted images enables distinction between the absence or presence of hypoxic-ischemic (HI) brain injury in young infants. The aim of the present study was to assess whether this method of brain structure T1-weighted SI comparison also enables prediction of outcome.

Survivors of a group of 57 children with neonatal HI encephalopathy (HIE) grade 2 or 3 according to Sarnat and Sarnat and controls who underwent neonatal MR imaging were retrospectively assigned to 1 of 3 outcome groups at 5 years of age, depending on developmental outcome: 1) normal, 2) mildly abnormal, and 3) definitely abnormal. Gestational age was not significantly different between the HIE group (range, 35 + 5-42 + 5 weeks; mean, 39 + 4 weeks) and control group (range, 35 + 0-42 + 1 weeks; mean, 39 + 2 weeks). We calculated the predictive values of the neonatal clinical HIE classification according to Sarnat and Sarnat for outcome (neonatal death and developmental outcome in survivors). We assessed which brain structure T1-weighted SI comparison scored best for outcome prediction. Predictive values of that comparison for outcome were calculated for the entire group and for the HIE grade 2 group only, a patient group with highly variable outcome.

Of the 57 children, 6 died. Outcome group 1 consisted of 31; group 2, of 14; and group 3, of 6 children. The positive predictive value of the neonatal clinical classification for adverse outcome (outcome group 3 and death) was 52%; and negative predictive value, 100%. These were respectively 45% and 0% in children with HIE grade 2. Of all brain structure T1-weighted SI comparisons, that of the posterior limb of the internal capsule versus the posterolateral putamen scored best for outcome prediction. The positive predictive value for adverse outcome was 69%; and negative predictive value, 98%. In children with HIE grade 2, the positive predictive value and negative predictive value for adverse outcome were 67% and 88%.

Brain structure T1-weighted SI comparisons are helpful to predict outcome in (near) term neonates with HIE. This finding adds to the current knowledge and clinical practice. If the SI in the posterolateral putamen is less than the SI in the posterior limb of the internal capsule, favorable outcome is very likely, whereas if the SI in the posterolateral putamen is equal to or greater than the SI in the posterior limb of the internal capsule, adverse outcome is very likely. In neonates with HIE grade 2 according to Sarnat and Sarnat, prediction of outcome is substantially improved by using these brain structure T1-weighted SI comparisons.