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Is "usual" blood pressure a proxy for 24-h ambulatory blood pressure in predicting cardiovascular outcomes?
Jerzy Gasowski1, Yan Li, Tatiana Kuznetsova
1Department of Internal Medicine and Gerontology, Jagiellonian University, Kraków, Poland.
Insights
24-hour ambulatory blood pressure (ABP) is a superior predictor of cardiovascular disease compared to conventional blood pressure (CBP) and usual blood pressure (UBP). ABP independently predicts cardiovascular outcomes, outperforming both CBP and UBP in risk assessment.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Hypertension Research
- Preventive Medicine
Background:
- 24-hour ambulatory blood pressure (ABP) is a stronger cardiovascular disease predictor than conventional blood pressure (CBP).
- Comparison of ABP with usual blood pressure (UBP), corrected for regression dilution bias (RDB), is less understood.
Purpose of the Study:
- To compare the predictive power of systolic CBP, UBP, and ABP for cardiovascular mortality and events.
- To determine if UBP offers enhanced cardiovascular risk prediction over CBP.
Main Methods:
- A 13-year follow-up study of 1,167 randomly selected Belgians.
- Comparison of associations between systolic CBP, UBP, and ABP with cardiovascular mortality and events.
- Estimation of RDB correction factor for UBP from CBP in untreated individuals.
Main Results:
- Cardiovascular disease risk increased across quartiles of systolic CBP, UBP, and ABP.
- Systolic ABP showed significantly stronger associations with cardiovascular mortality and events (HRs 1.38-1.33 per 10 mm Hg) compared to CBP (HRs 1.10-1.14) and UBP (HRs 1.18-1.23).
- In Cox models, only ABP independently predicted cardiovascular outcomes when included with CBP or UBP.
Conclusions:
- Correcting conventional blood pressure (CBP) for regression dilution bias (RDB) to estimate usual blood pressure (UBP) did not yield statistically significant associations with cardiovascular outcomes.
- 24-hour ambulatory blood pressure (ABP) demonstrated superior predictive ability for cardiovascular outcomes compared to both CBP and UBP.
Background:
The 24-h ambulatory blood pressure (ABP) is a stronger predictor of cardiovascular disease than conventional blood pressure (CBP), but it remains unclear how it compares with "usual" blood pressure (UBP), estimated after CBP has been corrected for regression dilution bias (RDB).
Methods:
We compared the associations of cardiovascular mortality (n = 50), cardiovascular events (n = 101), and cardiac events (n = 71) with systolic CBP, UBP, and ABP over 13 years of follow-up (median) in 1,167 randomly selected Belgians. We estimated the correction factor to compute UBP from CBP at the midpoint of follow-up (6.5 years) in 723 untreated individuals without cardiovascular disease.
Results:
Cardiovascular disease increased across quartiles of systolic CBP, UBP, and ABP (P for trend < or =0.02). For each 10 mm Hg increment in systolic ABP, the multivariate-adjusted hazard ratios for cardiovascular mortality and for cardiovascular and cardiac events were 1.38, 1.27, and 1.33, respectively (P < 0.001 for all). For CBP, the corresponding hazard ratios were 1.10 (P = 0.21), 1.09 (P = 0.12), and 1.14 (P = 0.06); and for UBP, they were 1.18 (P = 0.21), 1.16 (P = 0.12), and 1.23 (P = 0.06), respectively. The risk function for cardiovascular disease in relation to ABP was significantly steeper than that for CBP, but not UBP. In Cox models, including CBP or UBP in the presence of ABP, only ABP predicted cardiovascular outcomes.
Conclusions:
Correcting CBP for RDB resulted in a steeper slope of events on blood pressure than observed for CBP. The association with UBP was not statistically significant and did not enhance the prediction of outcome to the level of ABP.
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