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Published on: September 26, 2018
Identifying individuals for primary cardiovascular disease prevention in UK general practice: priorities and resource
Tim A Holt1, Margaret Thorogood, Frances Griffiths
1Health Services Research Institute, Warwick Medical School, Coventry. tim.holt@warwick.ac.uk
Insights
A new algorithm identified individuals at high risk for cardiovascular disease in primary care. Many patients over 50 had missing risk data or unmanaged risk factors, highlighting gaps in prevention efforts.
Area of Science:
- Public Health
- Cardiology
- Health Informatics
Background:
- Effective cardiovascular disease (CVD) prevention requires accurate patient risk assessment.
- Primary care records are a crucial source for identifying individuals at risk.
- Existing risk-stratification tools may not fully capture the at-risk population.
Purpose of the Study:
- To apply the 'e-Nudge' risk algorithm to primary care data for identifying individuals at risk of CVD.
- To quantify the proportion of individuals aged 50 and over at significant 10-year CVD risk.
- To assess the prevalence of unmanaged modifiable risk factors in patients with established CVD.
Main Methods:
- Utilized data from 19 West Midlands general practices.
- Applied the 'e-Nudge' risk algorithm to patients aged 50 years and older.
- Analyzed existing patient data and identified missing risk-factor information.
Main Results:
- 5.9% of patients aged 50-74 years were identified with a >=20% 10-year CVD risk.
- An additional 26.4% were potentially at risk but lacked complete risk-factor data.
- 9.2% of patients over 50 with existing CVD had unmanaged modifiable risk factors outside audit targets.
Conclusions:
- The 'e-Nudge' algorithm effectively identifies individuals at elevated CVD risk within primary care populations.
- Significant gaps exist in risk-factor data collection and management, impacting targeted prevention.
- Findings have implications for optimizing resource allocation in cardiovascular disease prevention strategies.
Abstract:
Targeted cardiovascular disease prevention relies on risk-factor information held in primary care records. A risk algorithm, the 'e-Nudge', was applied to data from a population of >or=50-year-olds in 19 West Midlands practices, to identify those individuals at risk of cardiovascular disease. Altogether, 5.9% were identified aged 50-74 years at >or=20% 10-year risk based on existing data, and a further 26.4% were potentially at risk but had missing risk-factor information; 9.2% of patients aged over 50 years with established cardiovascular disease had at least one modifiable risk factor outside the audit target of the Quality and Outcomes Framework. Implications for resource allocation are discussed.
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