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Establishing a Competing Risk Regression Nomogram Model for Survival Data
Published on: October 23, 2020
Lifetime and age-conditional probabilities of developing or dying of cancer in Japan
Ken-ichi Kamo1, Kota Katanoda, Tomohiro Matsuda
1Division of Mathematics, School of Medicine Liberal Arts and Sciences, Sapporo Medical University,Chuo-ku, Sapporo 060-8543, Japan. kamo@sapmed.ac.jp
Abstract:
The concepts of lifetime and age-conditional probabilities of developing and dying of cancer are introduced as indexes to understand the risk of cancer. In this paper, we estimated the lifetime and age-conditional probabilities of developing and dying of cancer in 2001 and 2005, respectively, in Japan. It is estimated that one in two Japanese males and one in three females will develop cancer, and one in four Japanese males and one in six females will die of cancer. Moreover, the probabilities of developing cancer within specific decades of age are obtained as the short-term risks.
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