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Published on: January 8, 2020
Impact of comorbidity indexes on non-relapse mortality
A Xhaard1, R Porcher, J W Chien
1AP-HP, Hôpital Saint-Louis, Service d'Hématologie-Greffe, Paris, France.
Insights
Comorbidity indexes like CCI, HCT-CI, and PAM have limited predictive power for survival after hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT). Age, donor type, and hepatic disease were key factors for non-relapse mortality in this study.
Area of Science:
- Hematology
- Transplantation Medicine
- Biostatistics
Background:
- Comorbidity indexes (CI) are used to predict outcomes after allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT).
- Established indexes include the Charlson's comorbidity index (CCI), hematopoietic cell transplantation CI (HCT-CI), and the pre-transplantation assessment of mortality (PAM) score.
- The comparative predictive accuracy of these indexes for survival post-HSCT remains unclear.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate and compare the predictive performance of CCI, HCT-CI, and PAM for non-relapse mortality (NRM) and overall survival in patients undergoing allogeneic HSCT.
- To develop modified versions of HCT-CI and PAM that do not rely on pulmonary function tests (PFTs) due to data limitations.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective analysis of 286 patients who underwent allogeneic HSCT.
- Calculation of CCI, and development and application of reduced HCT-CI and adjusted PAM scores, omitting PFT data.
- Multivariate analysis to identify individual factors associated with NRM.
Main Results:
- The discriminative properties of CCI, reduced HCT-CI, and adjusted PAM for survival were found to be low in the studied cohort.
- Significant differences in patient and transplant characteristics were noted compared to other cohorts, including a higher proportion of pediatric patients, cord blood HSCT, and HSCT for Fanconi anemia.
- Multivariate analysis identified patient age, donor type (matched unrelated or mismatched), and hepatic disease as significant predictors of NRM.
Conclusions:
- Existing comorbidity indexes demonstrate limited predictive accuracy for survival outcomes in this specific allogeneic HSCT population.
- Age, donor match, and hepatic disease are significant factors influencing non-relapse mortality.
- Prospective validation in larger, independent cohorts is necessary before these CIs can be reliably used for patient counseling or clinical decision-making regarding HSCT.
Abstract:
Comorbidity indexes (CI) have been reported to predict non-relapse mortality (NRM) and overall survival after allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT) (Charlson's comorbidity index (CCI), hematopoietic cell transplantation CI (HCT-CI) and the pre-transplantation assessment of mortality (PAM) score). Which of these indexes best predict survival is unknown yet. We retrospectively studied 286 patients who underwent allogeneic HSCT. HCT-CI and PAM scores required grading according to pre-transplant pulmonary function tests (PFTs), which were lacking for some patients. We thus designed a reduced HCT-CI and an adjusted PAM, without results of PFTs. Using CCI, 25% of patients had indexes of 1 or more; median reduced HCT-CI score was 1; median adjusted PAM score was 24. The discriminative properties of the three CIs were rather low in our population. Comparison of patients and transplant characteristics between our and Seattle group's cohorts, however, revealed significant differences in more children, in more cord blood HSCT and in HSCT for Fanconi anemia in St Louis. Finally, multivariate analysis of scoring items revealed that age, matched unrelated or mismatched donor and hepatic disease were associated with NRM in our cohort. Translating use for patient's counseling or decision to proceed to transplant of these CIs will need prospective studies in a large independent cohort.
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