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Published on: May 15, 2020
[Multiple center collaborative research on high risk population screening measure]
1Institute of Neurology, Huashan Hospital, Fudan University, Shanghai 200040, China. profzhong@sina.com.cn
Insights
The cerebrovascular hemodynamic synthesized score (CVHS) effectively screens individuals at high risk for stroke. This score is a strong, independent predictor of stroke incidence, aiding in preventative measures.
Area of Science:
- Neurology
- Cardiovascular Science
- Biomedical Engineering
Context:
- Stroke remains a leading cause of disability and death worldwide.
- Accurate identification of high-risk populations is crucial for effective stroke prevention strategies.
- Cerebrovascular hemodynamics play a significant role in stroke pathogenesis.
Purpose:
- To validate the efficacy of the cerebrovascular hemodynamic synthesized score (CVHS) for screening high-risk stroke populations.
- To determine the relative risk (RR) associated with CVHS in predicting stroke.
- To evaluate the performance of CVHS as a screening tool.
Summary:
- A cohort of 23,741 participants aged 40+ free of stroke were assessed using the Cerebral Blood Vessel Analyzer (CBA) CV 300 to measure various hemodynamic indices.
- The cerebrovascular hemodynamic synthesized score (CVHS) was calculated, and its predictive value for stroke was analyzed over 48,481 person-years.
- Low CVHS (< 75) was associated with a 9.3-fold increased risk of stroke, demonstrating a significant dose-response relationship and identifying CVHS as the strongest independent predictor.
Impact:
- CVHS demonstrated satisfactory screening efficacy with 80.77% sensitivity and 67.55% specificity.
- The area under the ROC curve (AUC) of 0.806 indicates good discriminatory power.
- CVHS can serve as a valuable tool for identifying individuals at high risk of stroke, facilitating targeted interventions and stroke prevention efforts.
Objective:
To validate efficacy of cerebrovascular hemodynamic synthesized score (CVHS) for screening high risk population of stroke and relative risk (RR) for predicting stroke.
Methods:
Participants aged > or = 40 years and free of stroke were cluster sampled from Beijing, Shanghai, Fuzhou and Tangshan city in 5 centers. Investigation of risk factors of stroke and examination of cerebrovascular hemodynamic were carried out during baseline, and stroke incidence was surveyed during follow up. 26 690 people aged > or = 40 years were recruited, and 24 253 people agreed to participate (90.87%) with the effect as 23 741. Cerebral blood vessel analyzer (CBA) CV 300 was used to measure cerebrovascular hemodynamic synthesized index, including quantity of mean blood flow (Q(mean)), velocity of maximum blood flow (V(max)), velocity of minimus blood flow (V(min)), velocity of mean blood flow (V(mean)) pulse wave velocity (Wv), characteristic impedance of cerebrovascular net (Zcv), dilatation index (DI), resistance of vascular (Rv), development resistance (DR), capillary pressure (Cp), differential pressure (Dp). The CVHS was calculated by software according to the index measured directly.
Results:
There were 48 481 person-year followed and 182 stroke incidence occurred. Incidence of stroke was 3.75/1000 person-year in the multiple source people who aged > or = 40 years. Uni-variant analysis indicated that age and gender adjusted relative risk (RR) for stroke of low CVHS (< 75) was 9.3. There was significant dosage response between CVHS and RR of stroke. Multiple Cox regression showed that CVHS was the strongest predictive factor. Screening test evaluation showed that sensitivity, specificity, accuracy and Youden index of CVHS for screening were 80.77%, 67.55%, 67.65% and 0.48, respectively. The area under ROC curve (AUC) was 0.806.
Conclusion:
It seems that CVHS was the strongest and independent predictor of stroke and the efficacy for screening high risk population was also satisfactory. This kind of screening test could be an useful measure for preventing of the stroke occurrence.
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