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Published on: September 17, 2019
A structural equation modelling approach to the analysis of change
Yu-Kang Tu1, Vibeke Baelum, Mark S Gilthorpe
1Department of Periodontology, Leeds Dental Institute, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK. y.k.tu@leeds.ac.uk
Comparing treatment efficacy often uses analysis of change. While two-sample t-tests and analysis of covariance (ANCOVA) are common, ANCOVA is preferred for randomized controlled trials (RCTs). However, differing assumptions can lead to paradoxes in non-randomized studies.
Area of Science:
- Medical research
- Dental research
- Statistical analysis
Background:
- Analysis of change is a common study design for comparing treatment efficacy.
- Two-sample t-tests and analysis of covariance (ANCOVA) are frequently used statistical methods.
- ANCOVA is often recommended for randomized controlled trials (RCTs) due to potentially higher statistical power.
Purpose of the Study:
- To explain the underlying assumptions of the two-sample t-test and ANCOVA in the analysis of change.
- To illustrate scenarios where these methods yield similar and different results.
- To highlight the importance of considering method assumptions for interpreting non-randomized studies, addressing 'Lord's paradox'.
Main Methods:
- Utilized structural equation modeling as a conceptual framework.
- Presented two illustrative examples comparing the two-sample t-test and ANCOVA.
- Analyzed the relationship between baseline values and change in treatment outcomes.
Main Results:
- Both two-sample t-tests and ANCOVA can yield similar results in the analysis of change for RCTs.
- Differences in assumptions regarding baseline values and change can lead to divergent results, particularly in non-randomized studies.
- These discrepancies can result in 'Lord's paradox', where different statistical approaches produce substantially different conclusions.
Conclusions:
- Understanding the distinct assumptions of the two-sample t-test and ANCOVA is crucial for accurate data interpretation.
- The choice of statistical method and its underlying assumptions significantly impact the analysis of change, especially in non-randomized research.
- Careful consideration of these assumptions is essential for the appropriate interpretation of findings from non-randomized studies.
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