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Published on: February 26, 2013
Blood pressure control and risk of incident atrial fibrillation
M C Thomas1, S Dublin, R C Kaplan
1Department of Epidemiology, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, USA. mct77@u.washington.edu
Insights
Blood pressure control is crucial for preventing atrial fibrillation (AF). Both uncontrolled high blood pressure and very low systolic blood pressure (SBP) increase AF risk in hypertensive patients.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Hypertension Management
- Arrhythmia Research
Background:
- Atrial fibrillation (AF) affects over 2 million Americans.
- Hypertension is a common comorbidity associated with AF.
- The impact of blood pressure control on incident AF risk is not fully understood.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the association between blood pressure control and the risk of new-onset atrial fibrillation.
- To determine if varying degrees of systolic and diastolic blood pressure control influence AF incidence in hypertensive patients.
Main Methods:
- A population-based, case-control study.
- Included 433 patients with verified incident AF and 899 controls, all treated for hypertension.
- Average systolic blood pressure (SBP) and diastolic blood pressure (DBP) were calculated from recent measurements.
Main Results:
- Elevated SBP (≥140 mm Hg) was associated with increased AF risk (ORs ranging from 1.40 to 2.27).
- SBP <120 mm Hg also showed an increased risk (OR 1.99).
- An estimated 17.2% of incident AF cases in treated hypertensive patients were attributable to SBP ≥140 mm Hg.
Conclusions:
- Uncontrolled elevated SBP is linked to a higher risk of developing AF.
- Even SBP below 120 mm Hg was associated with increased AF risk in this population.
- Optimal blood pressure targets may be critical for AF prevention in hypertensive individuals.
Background:
Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a common arrhythmia that affects more than 2 million people in the United States. We sought to determine whether the risk of incident AF among patients treated for hypertension differs by the degree of blood pressure control.
Methods:
A population-based, case-control study of 433 patients with verified incident AF and 899 controls was conducted to investigate the relationship between average achieved systolic (SBP) and diastolic (DBP) blood pressure and risk of AF. All patients were members of an integrated health-care delivery system and were pharmacologically treated for hypertension. Medical records were reviewed to confirm the diagnosis of new onset AF and to collect information on medical conditions, health behaviors, and measured blood pressures. Average achieved SBP and DBP were calculated from the three most recent outpatient blood pressure measurements.
Results:
Compared with the reference level of 120-129 mm Hg, for categories of average achieved SBP of <120, 130-139, 140-149, 150-159, 160-169, and > or =170 mm Hg, the odds ratios (ORs; 95% confidence interval (CI)) for incident AF were 1.99 (1.10, 3.62), 1.19 (0.78, 1.81), 1.40 (0.93, 2.09), 2.02 (1.30, 3.15), 2.27 (1.31, 3.93), and 1.84 (0.89, 3.80), respectively. Based on the population attributable fraction, we estimated that, among patients with treated hypertension, 17.2% (95% CI 4.3%, 28.3%) of incident AF was attributable to an average achieved SBP > or =140 mm Hg.
Conclusion:
Among patients treated for hypertension, uncontrolled elevated SBP and SBP <120 mm Hg were associated with an increased risk of incident AF.
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