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Published on: September 28, 2018
The evolution of superstitious and superstition-like behaviour
1Center for Systems Biology, Harvard University, 7 Divinity Avenue, Harvard, MA 02138, USA. kfoster@cgr.harvard.edu
Natural selection can favor superstitious behaviors if occasional correct associations provide significant fitness benefits. This evolutionary model suggests that errors in cause-and-effect assessment are common, especially with low to moderate real associations.
Area of Science:
- Evolutionary Biology
- Behavioral Ecology
- Cognitive Science
Background:
- Superstitious behaviors, often seen as irrational, are poorly understood in evolutionary biology.
- These behaviors arise from incorrect cause-and-effect assignments, common in psychology and popular culture.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop a model explaining when natural selection favors assigning causality between events.
- To investigate the evolutionary basis of behaviors that appear superstitious.
Main Methods:
- A simple mathematical model was developed to analyze the conditions favoring causal assessment strategies.
- The model incorporates principles akin to Hamilton's rule and Pascal's wager.
Main Results:
- Natural selection can favor strategies with frequent errors if correct associations yield large fitness benefits.
- Incorrect assessments are most frequent when the true association probability is low to moderate.
- Limitations in assessing causal probabilities can lead to lumping non-causal with causal associations.
Conclusions:
- Superstitious or seemingly superstitious behaviors are an inevitable aspect of adaptive behavior across all organisms.
- Evolutionary pressures can shape organisms to make frequent errors in causal assessment for survival benefits.
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