Improving the realism of deterministic multi-strain models: implications for modelling influenza A

Pavlo Minayev1, Neil Ferguson

  • 1Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, MRC Centre for Outbreak Analysis and Modelling, Imperial College Faculty of Medicine, Norfolk Place, London W2 1PG, UK. p.minayev@imperial.ac.uk

Summary

This study models pathogen evolution, showing that cross-immunity intensity impacts disease dynamics. Deterministic models capture some aspects but require stochasticity for a complete understanding of influenza evolution.

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