U.S. Army disease and nonbattle injury model, refined in Afghanistan and Iraq

Previous analysis of Operation Desert Shield/Operation Desert Storm data yielded a disease and nonbattle injury (DNBI) model using distinct 95th percentile daily admission rates during the three phases of a war-fighting operation to predict medical requirements. This study refines the model with data from Operation Enduring Freedom (OEF) and Operation Iraqi Freedom (OIF). Inpatient health care records of U.S. Army soldiers deployed to OEF and OIF who were admitted with DNBI diagnoses were analyzed. DNBI admission rates for OEF and OIF were compared with rates for Operation Desert Shield/Operation Desert Storm. DNBI admission rates for OEF and OIF were lower than those for Operation Desert Shield/Operation Desert Storm. Rates among the phases of OIF were distinctly different. DNBI admission rates have been reduced during recent deployments. The concepts of the original model based on Operation Desert Shield/Operation Desert Storm data were validated by experiences during OEF and OIF. Continuous surveillance of DNBI admission rates is recommended.