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HbA 1c as a risk factor for heart failure in persons with diabetes: the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC)
A Pazin-Filho1, A Kottgen, A G Bertoni
1Medical School of Ribeirao Preto, University of Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil.
Insights
Elevated HbA1c levels increase heart failure risk in individuals with diabetes, regardless of coronary heart disease (CHD) status. Tight glycemic control may reduce heart failure incidence in this population.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Endocrinology
- Epidemiology
Background:
- Heart failure (HF) incidence is rising in diabetic populations, with or without coronary heart disease (CHD).
- Understanding the relationship between glycemic control and HF risk is crucial for prevention strategies.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the association between glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) levels and the risk of developing heart failure (HF) in individuals with diabetes.
- To determine if this association differs in the presence or absence of coronary heart disease (CHD).
Main Methods:
- Analysis of 1,827 participants with diabetes from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study, free of HF at baseline.
- Cox proportional hazard models were used, adjusting for demographics, lifestyle factors, and major CHD risk factors.
Main Results:
- Crude HF incidence was significantly higher in participants with CHD compared to those without (56.4 vs 15.5 per 1,000 person-years).
- Each 1% increase in HbA1c was associated with a 17% increased risk of HF in the non-CHD group (adjusted HR 1.17) and a 20% increased risk in the CHD group (adjusted HR 1.20).
- Even when excluding prevalent and incident CHD cases, HbA1c remained an independent risk factor for HF (adjusted HR 1.20).
Conclusions:
- Glycemic control, as measured by HbA1c, is an independent risk factor for incident heart failure in diabetic individuals.
- These findings support the need for clinical trials evaluating tight glycemic control strategies to mitigate HF risk in diabetes.
- Further research should focus on quantifying the impact of different treatment regimens on HF risk reduction.
Aims/Hypothesis:
Heart failure (HF) incidence in diabetes in both the presence and absence of CHD is rising. Prospective population-based studies can help describe the relationship between HbA(1c), a measure of glycaemia control, and HF risk.
Methods:
We studied the incidence of HF hospitalisation or death among 1,827 participants in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study with diabetes and no evidence of HF at baseline. Cox proportional hazard models included age, sex, race, education, health insurance status, alcohol consumption, BMI and WHR, and major CHD risk factors (BP level and medications, LDL- and HDL-cholesterol levels, and smoking).
Results:
In this population of persons with diabetes, crude HF incidence rates per 1,000 person-years were lower in the absence of CHD (incidence rate 15.5 for CHD-negative vs 56.4 for CHD-positive, p<0.001). The adjusted HR of HF for each 1% higher HbA(1c) was 1.17 (95% CI 1.11-1.25) for the non-CHD group and 1.20 (95% CI 1.04-1.40) for the CHD group. When the analysis was limited to HF cases which occurred in the absence of prevalent or incident CHD (during follow-up) the adjusted HR remained 1.20 (95% CI 1.11-1.29).
Conclusions/Interpretations:
These data suggest HbA(1c) is an independent risk factor for incident HF in persons with diabetes with and without CHD. Long-term clinical trials of tight glycaemic control should quantify the impact of different treatment regimens on HF risk reduction.
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