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Updated: Jun 28, 2026

Field-Based Thermal Physiology Assay: Cold Shock Recovery under Ambient Conditions
Published on: March 9, 2021
Thermoregulatory model to predict physiological status from ambient environment and heart rate
Miyo Yokota1, Larry Berglund, Samuel Cheuvront
1Biophysics and Biomedical Modeling Division, US Army Research Institute of Environmental Medicine, Kansas Street Bldg 42, Natick, MA 01760-5007, USA. Miyo.Yokota@US.ARMY.MIL
Abstract:
A real-time thermoregulatory model was developed for predicting real-time physiological responses of workers engaged in various tasks for prolonged time. The unique feature of the present model is primarily on metabolic activity inputs derived from minimum non-invasive measures (i.e., heart rate and ambient temperature). In addition, it utilizes individual anthropological characteristics (height, weight, and clothing) as an input to estimate core temperatures (T(c)). The model was validated using data from five laboratory studies (n=63) with varied environments, clothing, and heat acclimation status. Overall, T(c) predictions using this simplified model, corresponded well with measured values (root mean square deviation: 0.05-0.31 degrees C).
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