Association of serum bicarbonate levels with mortality in patients with non-dialysis-dependent CKD
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Csaba P Kovesdy1, John E Anderson, Kamyar Kalantar-Zadeh
1Division of Nephrology, Salem Veterans Affairs Medical Center, 1970 Roanoke Blvd., Salem, VA 24153, USA. csaba.kovesdy@va.gov
Insights
Metabolic acidosis in chronic kidney disease (CKD) is linked to mortality. In non-dialysis-dependent CKD (NDD-CKD), both low and high serum bicarbonate levels increase mortality risk, suggesting a need for optimized bicarbonate levels.
Area of Science:
- Nephrology
- Internal Medicine
- Clinical Research
Background:
- Metabolic acidosis, indicated by low serum bicarbonate, is common in chronic kidney disease (CKD).
- While linked to mortality in dialysis patients, its association in non-dialysis-dependent CKD (NDD-CKD) remains unclear.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the association between serum bicarbonate levels and mortality in patients with moderate to advanced NDD-CKD.
- To determine if serum bicarbonate levels impact all-cause mortality and progression to end-stage renal disease.
Main Methods:
- Utilized multivariable-adjusted Cox models.
- Examined baseline and time-variable serum bicarbonate (total CO2) in 1240 male NDD-CKD patients.
- Assessed outcomes including all-cause mortality and a composite of pre-dialysis mortality or end-stage renal disease.
Main Results:
- A significant U-shaped association was found between serum bicarbonate and all-cause mortality.
- Highest mortality occurred with serum bicarbonate <22 mmol/L (HR 1.33, P=0.02).
- Lowest mortality was observed with serum bicarbonate levels of 26-29 mmol/L. Associations were more pronounced in patients with better nutritional status and lower inflammation.
Conclusions:
- Both low and high serum bicarbonate levels are associated with increased all-cause mortality in NDD-CKD patients.
- Further clinical trials are necessary to explore therapeutic interventions for optimizing serum bicarbonate levels.
- Optimizing serum bicarbonate may improve outcomes in this patient population.
Background:
Metabolic acidosis, usually manifested by low serum bicarbonate level, is common in chronic kidney disease (CKD) and appears to be associated with higher mortality in dialysis patients. It is not known whether a similar association is present in patients with non-dialysis-dependent CKD (NDD-CKD).
Methods:
We used multivariable-adjusted Cox models to examine the association between baseline and time-variable serum bicarbonate (measured as total CO2) with the outcomes of all-cause mortality and the composite of pre-dialysis mortality or end-stage renal disease in 1240 male patients with moderate and advanced NDD-CKD.
Results:
Serum bicarbonate showed a significant U-shaped association with all-cause mortality, with the highest mortality rate observed in patients with baseline serum bicarbonate levels <22 mmol/L [multivariable-adjusted hazard ratio (95% confidence interval) for patients with serum bicarbonate <22 mmol/L versus > or =22 mmol/L: 1.33 (1.05-1.69), P = 0.02] and the lowest mortality observed in patients with baseline serum bicarbonate of 26-29 mmol/L. The associations between lower serum bicarbonate level and mortality were more accentuated in subgroups of patients with better nutritional status and lower inflammation.
Conclusions:
Both lower and higher serum bicarbonates are associated with increased all-cause mortality in patients with moderate and advanced NDD-CKD. Clinical trials are needed to determine if therapeutic interventions aimed at optimizing serum bicarbonate can result in improved outcomes in this population.
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