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Predicting ischaemic stroke subtype from presenting systolic blood pressure: the BASIC Project
W J Meurer1, B N Sánchez, M A Smith
1Stroke Program, University of Michigan Health System, USA.
Insights
Low systolic blood pressure (SBP) at presentation is linked to cardioembolic stroke, a type of ischemic stroke. Increased suspicion for this stroke subtype is warranted in patients with lower SBP.
Area of Science:
- Neurology
- Cardiology
- Epidemiology
Background:
- Ischemic stroke subtypes have varying etiologies and risk factors.
- Understanding predictors of specific stroke subtypes is crucial for targeted prevention and treatment.
- Systolic blood pressure (SBP) is a key cardiovascular risk factor, but its association with stroke etiology requires further elucidation.
Purpose of the Study:
- To test the hypothesis that low presenting systolic blood pressure (SBP) predicts a cardioembolic stroke etiology.
- To investigate the association between presenting SBP and ischemic stroke subtypes.
Main Methods:
- A population-based study (Brain Attack Surveillance in Corpus Christi - BASIC) identified ischemic stroke cases.
- Multinomial logistic regression analyzed the relationship between stroke subtype and initial SBP.
- Data included 308 ischemic stroke cases with determined etiology between 2000-2002.
Main Results:
- Lower presenting SBP was significantly associated with stroke subtype (P = 0.001).
- Each 10 mmHg decrease in SBP increased the odds of cardioembolic stroke versus small vessel occlusion by 20%.
- Older age was also associated with an increased odds of cardioembolic stroke.
Conclusions:
- Lower initial SBP and older age are associated with cardioembolic stroke.
- Clinicians should consider cardioembolic stroke in patients presenting with low SBP.
- These findings aid in identifying stroke etiology and guiding clinical suspicion.
Objective:
We hypothesized that low presenting systolic blood pressure (SBP) predicted cardioembolic stroke aetiology.
Design:
Active and passive surveillance were used to identify all ischaemic strokes as part of the Brain Attack Surveillance in Corpus Christi (BASIC) population-based study. Multinomial logistic regression was used to examine the association between stroke subtype and first documented SBP in the medical record.
Setting:
Nueces County, TX, USA (313,645 residents in 2000). The community is urban with the majority of the population residing in the city of Corpus Christi. The area is served by seven adult acute care hospitals.
Patients:
Three hundred and eight cases with completed ischaemic stroke and determined subtype aetiology between January 2000 and December 2002.
Results:
Lower presenting SBP was associated with stroke subtype (P = 0.001). This association remained significant in the final model adjusted for age and history of coronary artery disease. The odds of cardioembolic versus small vessel occlusion increased by 20% (OR = 1.20, 95% CI: 1.07-1.35) for every 10 mmHg decrease in presenting SBP. Other covariates including race/ethnicity, gender, history of hypertension, and diabetes were neither significant predictors of stroke subtype, nor did they confound the association of SBP and stroke subtype. A 5 year increase in age increased the odds of cardioembolic subtype by 25% (OR = 1.25, 95% CI: 1.07-1.47).
Conclusions:
Lower initial SBP and older age at ischaemic stroke presentation were associated with cardioembolic stroke. Suspicion of cardioembolic stroke should be increased in those presenting with low SBP.
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