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Updated: Jun 27, 2026

A Protocol for Analyzing Hepatitis C Virus Replication
Published on: June 26, 2014
An evidence synthesis approach to estimating Hepatitis C prevalence in England and Wales
D De Angelis1, M Sweeting, Ae Ades
1Health Protection Agency Centre for Infections, London and MRC Biostatistics Unit, Institute of Public Health, Cambridge, UK. daniela.deangelis@mrc-bsu.cam.ac.uk
Abstract:
In England and Wales, routine monitoring has been consistently showing an increase in mortality and morbidity due to infection with the Hepatitis C Virus (HCV). However, the magnitude of the underlying epidemic is still the subject of debate. In this paper we present estimates of the number of individuals aged 15-59 chronically infected with HCV in 2003, derived from a Bayesian synthesis of information available from multiple sources on the size of the groups at risk for HCV and the risk specific anti-HCV prevalence. Results show that the number of chronic infections is of the order of 142,000 (95% CrI: 90,000, 231,000), with the majority (85%, 95% CrI: 74%, 93%) in injecting drug users and about 80% (95% CrI: 74%, 84%) in the age group 15-44.
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