Pharmaceuticals in the environment: good practice in predicting acute ecotoxicological effects
Judith C Madden1, Steven J Enoch, Mark Hewitt
1School of Pharmacy and Chemistry, Liverpool John Moores University, Byrom Street, England L3 3AF, UK. j.madden@ljmu.ac.uk
Predicting pharmaceutical environmental toxicity using ECOSAR requires careful consideration. Expert judgment is crucial to ensure model applicability for accurate aquatic toxicity predictions of diverse drug compounds.
Area of Science:
- Environmental Chemistry
- Ecotoxicology
- Computational Toxicology
Background:
- Growing detection of pharmaceuticals in the environment raises concerns about adverse effects on non-target organisms.
- Limited experimental ecotoxicity data for pharmaceuticals necessitates the use of in silico predictive tools.
- Existing models like ECOSAR, developed for industrial chemicals, may have limitations when applied to pharmaceuticals.
Purpose of the Study:
- To assess the reliability of the ECOSAR program for predicting the aquatic toxicity of 364 diverse pharmaceuticals.
- To evaluate the confidence in ECOSAR predictions based on the representativeness of assigned chemical classes.
- To investigate the correlation between predicted and experimentally determined toxicity values for pharmaceuticals.
Main Methods:
- Utilized the ECOSAR program to classify 364 pharmaceuticals into chemical classes and predict their aquatic toxicity.
- Assessed prediction confidence by evaluating the appropriateness of the assigned chemical classes for each pharmaceutical.
- Correlated ECOSAR-predicted toxicity values with available experimental ecotoxicity data.
Main Results:
- ECOSAR provided reasonable aquatic toxicity predictions for pharmaceuticals within its established applicability domain.
- Predictions were less reliable for pharmaceuticals falling outside the model's domain.
- Highlighted the importance of expert judgment in determining model suitability for specific chemical compounds.
Conclusions:
- The ECOSAR model can be a useful tool for predicting pharmaceutical aquatic toxicity, but its applicability domain must be carefully considered.
- Expert evaluation is essential to ensure the appropriate use of in silico models for environmental risk assessment of pharmaceuticals.
- Further research may be needed to refine predictive models for broader pharmaceutical applications.
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