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Public funding of new cancer drugs: Is NICE getting nastier?
Anne R Mason1, Michael F Drummond1
1Centre for Health Economics, Alcuin A Block, University of York, Heslington, York YO10 5DD, UK.
Background:
Decision-making processes that determine cancer drug availability vary internationally. The National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence (NICE) assesses clinical and cost-effectiveness, but recent restrictions on the availability of cancer drugs suggest that NICE may be getting tougher.
Objectives:
To determine whether NICE is rejecting a higher proportion of cancer drugs and whether the reasons for restricting technologies have changed.
Methods:
NICE decisions on cancer drugs from May 2000 to October 2008 were classified as 'positive', 'restricted' or 'negative', and decisions taken before and after a change in NICE's appraisal methods in August 2006 were compared. NICE's stated reasons for its restrictions were analysed.
Results:
Fifty-six cancer drugs in 38 appraisals were analysed. The proportion of 'negative' appraisals increased from 4% in period 1 to 27% in period 2. Findings were similar when analysed by drug assessment (11% versus 26%).
Conclusions:
The higher rejection rate for cancer drugs is partly explained by the new appraisal process, but the principal reason for the observed change is the shift from an absence of evidence on cost-effectiveness to evidence of an absence of value-for-money.
Insights
The National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence (NICE) is rejecting more cancer drugs due to a new appraisal process and a shift towards evidence showing a lack of value for money. This impacts cancer drug availability.
Area of Science:
- Health economics
- Oncology
- Health policy
Background:
- International variations exist in cancer drug availability decision-making.
- The National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence (NICE) evaluates clinical and cost-effectiveness of treatments.
- Recent trends suggest NICE may be implementing stricter criteria for cancer drug approvals.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate if NICE is rejecting a higher proportion of cancer drugs.
- To analyze changes in the reasons cited for restricting cancer drug technologies.
Main Methods:
- NICE decisions on 56 cancer drugs (38 appraisals) from May 2000 to October 2008 were categorized as positive, restricted, or negative.
- Decisions were compared between periods before and after NICE's appraisal method changes in August 2006.
- NICE's stated reasons for restrictions were systematically analyzed.
Main Results:
- The proportion of 'negative' NICE appraisals for cancer drugs significantly increased from 4% in the initial period to 27% in the later period.
- This trend remained consistent when analyzed by individual drug assessments, with negative findings rising from 11% to 26%.
- The shift in appraisal methods contributed to the increased rejection rate.
Conclusions:
- The heightened rejection rate of cancer drugs by NICE is influenced by its revised appraisal process.
- A primary driver for this change is the transition from insufficient evidence of cost-effectiveness to clear evidence of poor value for money.
- This indicates a more rigorous evaluation of cost-effectiveness in cancer drug approvals by NICE.
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