Humerus fracture bending risk function for the 50th percentile male

The increase in upper extremity injuries in automobile collisions, because of the widespread implantation of airbags, has lead to an increased focus in humerus injury criteria. Risk functions for upper extremity injury that can be used in instrumented upper extremities would be useful. This paper presents a risk function for humerus injury for the 50th percentile male based on bending fracture moment data gathered from previous studies. The data was scaled using two scaling factors, one for mass and one for rate, and the Weibull survival analysis model was then used to develop the risk function. It was determined that a 25% risk of injury corresponds to a 214 Nm bending load, a 50% risk of injury corresponds to a 257 Nm bending load, and a 75% risk of injury corresponds to a 296 Nm bending load. It is believed the risk function can be used with an instrumented upper extremity during vehicle testing.