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Updated: Jun 26, 2026

Modeling Multiple Sclerosis in the Two Sexes: MOG35-55-Induced Experimental Autoimmune Encephalomyelitis
Published on: October 13, 2023
Multiple sclerosis incidence in the era of measles-mumps-rubella mass vaccinations
1Institute of Neuroscience and Physiology, Sahlgrenska University Hospital, Gothenburg, Sweden. cecilia.ahlgren@neuro.gu.se
Background:
Viral childhood infections may be involved in the multiple sclerosis (MS) pathogenesis. Following national Swedish vaccination programs, measles sharply declined in the 1970s, and measles, mumps, and rubella were virtually eliminated in cohorts born from 1981.
Objectives:
To examine whether the vaccination induced reduction in these infections influences the MS incidence. In addition, the public health aspect justified an early evaluation of beneficial as well as harmful effects of mass vaccinations.
Materials And Methods:
From an incidence material of 534 MS patients, born 1959-1990, we selected one unvaccinated cohort and four cohorts, each corresponding to a vaccination program (MS patients = 251).
Results:
With the ability to detect a decrease by 30-35%, and an increase by 37-48% in the MS incidence in the first three cohorts, we found no vaccination related MS incidence changes. The background MS incidence showed a significant gradual age dependent increase.
Conclusions:
While the present follow-up provided limited power in the last cohort, there is no evidence as yet that the radical decline in three viral infections influenced the MS incidence. However, the increasing background MS incidence of unknown cause may have concealed a reduction in MS risk associated with mass vaccinations.
Insights
Mass vaccinations did not alter multiple sclerosis (MS) incidence despite reduced viral infections. An increasing background MS incidence may mask potential vaccination benefits.
Area of Science:
- Neurology
- Epidemiology
- Immunology
Background:
- Viral childhood infections are implicated in multiple sclerosis (MS) pathogenesis.
- Swedish vaccination programs significantly reduced measles, mumps, and rubella incidence from the 1970s/1981 onwards.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate if vaccination-induced reductions in viral infections impact MS incidence.
- To evaluate potential beneficial or harmful effects of mass vaccinations on public health.
Main Methods:
- Study included 534 MS patients born between 1959-1990.
- Compared unvaccinated cohorts with four cohorts based on vaccination programs (251 MS patients).
Main Results:
- No significant changes in MS incidence were detected in relation to vaccination programs.
- A significant, age-dependent increase in background MS incidence was observed.
Conclusions:
- Current data shows no evidence that reduced viral infections influenced MS incidence.
- An increasing background MS incidence of unknown origin might obscure a potential MS risk reduction from mass vaccinations.
Related Concept Videos
Multiple Sclerosis l: Introduction
Vaccinations
Poliomyelitis
Encephalitis l: Introduction
Respiratory Syncytial Virus Disease
Smallpox
