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Updated: Jun 26, 2026

Establishing a Competing Risk Regression Nomogram Model for Survival Data
Published on: October 23, 2020
[Data on mortality from external causes and events of undetermined intent, Paraná State, Brazil, 1979 to 2005]
Elizabeth Mitiko Konno de Lozada1, Thais Aidar de Freitas Mathias, Selma Maffei de Andrade
111 feminine Regional de Saúde, Secretaria de Estado da Saúde do Paraná, Campo Mourão, Brasil.
Abstract:
This study analyzed the quality of data from the Mortality Information System (SIM) for deaths due to external causes in the State of Paraná, Brazil, 1979 to 2005, focusing on events of undetermined intent. Deaths were grouped in motor vehicle accidents, homicides, suicides, and events of undetermined intent, and proportional mortality and relative annual variation of rates over the three-year period were analyzed. Motor vehicle accidents (more than 30% of the total) were the most frequent causes of death throughout the period, and since 1997 homicides have become the second most frequent cause. Deaths due to events of undetermined intent caused by weapons (firearms or knives) decreased from 4.8% in 1981 to 0.3% in 2005. Mortality rates for events of undetermined intent (overall) decreased from 14.9 deaths per 100,000 inhabitants in 1979-81 to 2.0 in 2003-05. Annual percentage variation was -13.1% from 1980 to 1985, -6% from 1996 to 2000, and -11% from 2000 to 2004. The findings show the good quality of SIM data on external causes in the State of Paraná, allowing analyses with the potential to support programs to prevent injuries as well as health promotion measures.
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