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Updated: Jun 25, 2026

Development of an Individual-Tree Basal Area Increment Model using a Linear Mixed-Effects Approach
Published on: July 3, 2020
A modeling framework for inferring tree growth and allocation from physiological, morphological and allometric
1Department of Botany, University of Wyoming, Laramie, WY 82071, USA. kogle@uwyo.edu
Predicting forest dynamics requires understanding tree growth and mortality. The new Allometrically Constrained Growth and Carbon Allocation (ACGCA) model links these factors to carbon status, improving ecological predictions.
Area of Science:
- Ecology
- Forest Science
- Plant Physiology
Background:
- Forest succession, diversity, and function depend on species-specific growth, allocation, and mortality.
- Tree physiology and allometric constraints, linked to labile carbon status, influence these processes.
- Understanding labile carbon pools and allocation is crucial for predicting tree growth and forest dynamics.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop and present the Allometrically Constrained Growth and Carbon Allocation (ACGCA) model.
- To explicitly couple tree growth, mortality, allometries, and labile carbon dynamics.
- To provide a framework for improved prediction of tree growth, mortality, and forest dynamics.
Main Methods:
- Developed the ACGCA model integrating allometry, physiology, and carbon allocation.
- Coupled labile carbon status with growth, mortality, and allometric constraints.
- Simulated model behavior using forest gap dynamics and parameters for loblolly pine and red maple.
Main Results:
- The ACGCA model provides a semi-mechanistic basis for predicting tree death.
- The model's allocation scheme satisfies both allometric relationships and carbon dynamics.
- Simulations reproduced species-specific growth and mortality patterns consistent with shade tolerance and succession status.
Conclusions:
- The ACGCA model offers a novel framework for understanding tree physiological states.
- Explicitly coupling carbon dynamics improves predictions of tree growth and mortality.
- This approach enhances our ability to predict forest dynamics and ecological responses.
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