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Predictors of mortality in home-dwelling patients with cardiovascular disease aged 75 and older
Timo E Strandberg1, Kaisu H Pitkala, Reijo S Tilvis
1Department of Health Sciences/Geriatrics, University of Oulu, Oulu University Hospital, Finland. timo.strandberg@oulu.fi
Insights
Cognitive impairment, measured by Mini Mental State Examination (MMSE), strongly predicts mortality in older cardiovascular disease (CVD) patients. This cognitive indicator proved more significant than traditional biomarkers for predicting 6-year mortality.
Area of Science:
- Gerontology
- Cardiology
- Neurology
Background:
- Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is prevalent in older adults.
- Cognitive function is increasingly recognized as a factor in overall health outcomes.
- Predicting mortality in elderly CVD patients requires understanding various health indicators.
Purpose of the Study:
- To compare the predictive value of common biomarkers in older CVD patients with cognitive function.
- To identify the strongest predictor of mortality in this population.
Main Methods:
- Prospective cohort study of 398 home-dwelling older adults with stable CVD.
- Cognitive function assessed using the Mini Mental State Examination (MMSE).
- Mortality prediction using clinical and laboratory measurements over a 6-year follow-up.
Main Results:
- Low MMSE score (indicating cognitive impairment) was the strongest predictor of mortality (relative hazard 2.38).
- Creatinine, C-reactive protein, and history of congestive heart failure were also significant predictors.
- Conventional CVD risk factors were not significant independent predictors of mortality.
Conclusions:
- Impaired cognitive function, assessed by MMSE, is a powerful independent predictor of 6-year mortality in older adults with CVD.
- Few clinical variables independently predicted mortality, highlighting the importance of cognitive assessment.
Objectives:
To compare the predictive value of biomarkers commonly measured in older patients with cardiovascular disease (CVD) with an indicator of cognitive function.
Design:
Prospective cohort study.
Setting:
Helsinki, Finland.
Participants:
Three hundred ninety-eight home-dwelling older persons (261 women, mean age 80) with stable CVD and without a diagnosis of clinical dementia.
Measurements:
Simple laboratory and clinical measurements (including the Mini Mental State Examination (MMSE, maximum score 30 points) and New York Heart Association (NYHA) classification) were used to predict mortality. A MMSE score between 18 and 24 points was considered to indicate cognitive impairment.
Results:
At baseline, median MMSE score was 27 (interquartile range 25-28), with 59 individuals having a score below 24 points. During a mean follow-up of 6.0 years, 129 participants died. In the fully adjusted Cox proportional hazards model, low MMSE score was the strongest predictor of mortality, with a relative hazard of 2.38 (95% confidence interval=1.52-3.74; P<.001). Of the various clinical and laboratory variables, only creatinine, C-reactive protein, and history of congestive heart failure were significant independent predictors, whereas conventional risk factors were not.
Conclusion:
Only a few clinical variables independently predicted 6-year mortality in older home-living patients with CVD. The strongest predictor was impaired cognitive function assessed using MMSE.
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