[Multivariate model to predict Streptococcus pyogenes tonsillitis]
Alberto Villaseñor-Sierra1, José Ramiro Caballero-Hoyos, Juan José Jáuregui-Lomelí
1Centro de Investigación Biomédica de Occidente, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Guadalajara, Jalisco. avillase@prodigy.net.mx
Objective:
to develop a multivariate model to predict the Streptococcus pyogenes isolation in patients with acute tonsillitis.
Methods:
cross-sectional analytic study on patients with acute tonsillitis without a recent history of antimicrobial consumption. We evaluated 14 signs and 18 symptoms. A pharyngeal culture was realized on 5% sheep blood agar. Group A streptococci was identified by standard methods.
Statistical Analysis:
sensitivity, specificity, predictive values, chi2, Fisher's exact test, crude and adjusted odds ratio (OR) with 95% CI using dichotomical logistic regression with direct method and Hosmer and Lemeshow-goodness-fit test.
Results:
there were 213 participants, 37% were males; a mean age of 14.9 years. We isolated Streptococcus pyogenes in 15%, and 84 % of them had received antimicrobials. We identified signs and symptoms associated with Streptococcus pyogenes isolation: painful swallowing (OR=4.45, 95% CI = 1.13-17.53); tonsils with exudates (OR=3.20, 95% CI = 1.22-8.43); smelly breath (OR=2.78, 95% CI = 1.09-7.10); painful neck nodes (OR=2.70, 95% CI = 1.05-6.96). The presence of nasal symptoms was a protective factor (OR=0.25, 95% CI = 0.09-0.71).
Conclusions:
the prevalence of Streptococcus pyogenes tonsillitis was similar to other reports. We found signs and symptoms associated to Streptococcus pyogenes isolation that allowed us to elaborate a decision algorithm.
Insights
This study identified key signs and symptoms for predicting Streptococcus pyogenes in acute tonsillitis patients. Painful swallowing, tonsillar exudates, and neck node pain increase risk, while nasal symptoms offer protection.
Area of Science:
- Infectious Diseases
- Microbiology
- Clinical Medicine
Context:
- Acute tonsillitis is a common condition with variable etiology.
- Bacterial causes, particularly Streptococcus pyogenes (Group A Streptococcus), require specific antibiotic treatment.
- Accurate and timely diagnosis is crucial to prevent complications and antibiotic resistance.
Purpose:
- To develop a predictive model for Streptococcus pyogenes isolation in patients presenting with acute tonsillitis.
- To identify clinical signs and symptoms significantly associated with Streptococcus pyogenes infection.
- To create a decision-making tool for clinicians managing acute tonsillitis.
Summary:
- A cross-sectional study analyzed 213 patients with acute tonsillitis, evaluating 14 signs and 18 symptoms.
- Streptococcus pyogenes was isolated in 15% of cases. Significant predictors included painful swallowing, tonsillar exudates, foul breath, and painful neck nodes.
- Nasal symptoms were found to be a protective factor against Streptococcus pyogenes isolation.
Impact:
- The findings facilitate the development of a clinical algorithm to aid in the diagnosis of Streptococcus pyogenes tonsillitis.
- Improved diagnostic accuracy can lead to more targeted antibiotic use, potentially reducing resistance.
- This research contributes to better management strategies for acute tonsillitis in clinical practice.
Related Concept Videos
Tonsillitis I: Introduction
Etiology
Three primary contributing factors have been identified.
Streptococcal Pharyngitis
Tonsillitis II: Management
Acute Pharyngitis
Acute pharyngitis is the inflammation of the back of the throat (pharynx), commonly resulting in a sore throat. It is a frequently encountered condition that prompts individuals to seek medical advice.
Classification
Acute pharyngitis can be categorized based on its underlying cause:
Multiple Regression
Farmers can use multiple regression to determine the crop yield based on more than one factor, such as water availability, fertilizer, soil properties, etc. Here, the crop yield is the response or dependent variable as it depends on the other independent variables. The analysis requires the construction of a scatter plot...
Chronic Pharyngitis
Etiology
It often arises from persistent viral or bacterial infections affecting sinuses and tonsils.
Additional contributing factors include inadequate dental hygiene, mouth breathing, recurring tonsillitis, allergic rhinitis, laryngopharyngeal reflux, and exposure to smoke, chemicals, and other environmental pollutants. Allergic reactions to pollen, mold, and pet dander, chronic cough, excessive voice usage,...
