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Surgical audit using the POSSUM scoring tool in vascular surgery patients
J S Byrne1, E T Condon, M Ahmed
1Department of Vascular Surgery, St Vincent’s Hospital, Dublin, Ireland. jbyrne2@rcsi.ie
Irish Journal of Medical Science
|February 14, 2009
Summary
The Physiological and Operative Severity Score for the enUrological Mortality (POSSUM) score shows promise for surgical audit. While it over-predicts mortality, it accurately correlates with observed morbidity and identifies high-risk patients.
Area of Science:
- Vascular Surgery
- Surgical Outcomes Assessment
- Health Services Research
Background:
- Current methods using crude morbidity and mortality rates may not accurately reflect quality of care in high-risk vascular surgery.
- There is a need for more precise tools to assess surgical performance.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the Physiological and Operative Severity Score for the enUrological Mortality (POSSUM) score as a performance measure in a vascular unit.
- To assess the POSSUM score's utility in predicting individual patient outcomes.
Main Methods:
- A prospective study of 106 patients undergoing vascular surgery.
- Vascular-POSSUM scores were calculated for each patient.
- Predicted and observed morbidity and mortality rates were compared using statistical tests and receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curves.
Main Results:
- POSSUM scores showed a significant association with mortality endpoints (Area Under ROC Curve = 0.97250).
- Predicted morbidity (41%) was not significantly different from observed morbidity (35.8%).
- POSSUM tended to over-predict mortality (9.7% predicted vs. 5.7% observed).
Conclusions:
- The POSSUM score is a valuable tool for surgical audit in vascular surgery.
- High POSSUM mortality scores can identify patients at elevated risk.
- Wider implementation of the POSSUM score is recommended for interpreting surgical outcomes.