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[Sequential designs and intermediate analysis in clinical research: size vs difficulty]
Toni Monleón-Getino1, Agustí Barnadas-Molins, Montserrat Roset-Gamisans
1Departamento de Estadística, Universidad de Barcelona, Barcelona, España. amonleong@ub.edu
Abstract:
Sequential design differs from other statistical designs used in clinical research in that the sample size is not fixed in advance but it varies depending on the results obtained. The intermediate analysis is defined as the treatment evaluation during an initial stage of the study and may lead to the termination of the study. Treatment effect with respect to control is evaluated across a series of pre-established time intervals. The study should be halted if there are significant differences in the level of overall significance, alpha. If this does not happen, then the study continues until reaching a maximum sample size, n, at which point the study ends and the hypothesis of equality is accepted. In general, sequential designs require fewer patients, although they make the study more complex because there is a need for continuous information about the patients' status; this latter aspect requires greater effort in terms of both study monitoring and patient follow-up. The aim therefore is to find a balance between smaller sample size (n) and greater complexity.
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