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Updated: Jun 23, 2026

Assessment of Child Anthropometry in a Large Epidemiologic Study
Published on: February 2, 2017
Childhood obesity and adult cardiovascular disease risk: a systematic review
Louise Jane Dunford1, S C Langley-Evans, S McMullen
1Division of Nutritional Sciences, School of Biosciences, University of Nottingham, Sutton Bonington Campus, Loughborough, UK.
Insights
Childhood obesity is not an independent risk factor for adult cardiovascular disease (CVD). Instead, the link appears to be due to body mass index (BMI) tracking from childhood to adulthood, challenging public health priorities.
Area of Science:
- Pediatrics
- Cardiology
- Public Health
Background:
- The link between adult obesity and cardiovascular disease (CVD) is established, but the role of childhood obesity remains unclear.
- Body mass index (BMI) shows significant tracking from childhood into adulthood.
- This systematic review examines the independent association between childhood BMI and adult CVD risk.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the association between childhood BMI and adult CVD risk.
- To determine if observed associations are independent of adult BMI.
Main Methods:
- Systematic review of electronic databases up to July 2008.
- Independent review of studies for eligibility by two investigators.
- Data extraction and quality assessment using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale.
Main Results:
- Associations between childhood BMI and adult blood pressure or carotid intima-media thickness were diminished after adjusting for adult BMI.
- No independent relationship was found between childhood BMI and adult CVD morbidity/mortality.
- Some adjusted analyses indicated negative associations between childhood BMI and blood pressure.
Conclusions:
- Limited evidence supports childhood obesity as an independent CVD risk factor; associations are likely due to BMI tracking.
- Raised blood pressure risk is highest in individuals with lower childhood BMI who are overweight in adulthood.
- Findings challenge the focus on childhood obesity as an independent CVD risk factor, suggesting a need for nuanced public health interventions.
Background:
Although the relationship between adult obesity and cardiovascular disease (CVD) has been shown, the relationship with childhood obesity remains unclear. Given the evidence of tracking of body mass index (BMI) from childhood to adulthood, this systematic review investigated the independent relationship between childhood BMI and adult CVD risk.
Objective:
To investigate the association between childhood BMI and adult CVD risk, and whether the associations observed are independent of adult BMI.
Design:
Electronic databases were searched from inception until July 2008 for studies investigating the association between childhood BMI and adult CVD risk. Two investigators independently reviewed studies for eligibility according to inclusion/exclusion criteria, extracted the data and assessed study quality using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale.
Results:
Positive associations between childhood BMI and adult blood pressure or carotid intima-media thickness were generally attenuated once adjusted for adult BMI. Associations between childhood BMI and CVD morbidity/mortality had not been adjusted and do not provide evidence of an independent relationship. Negative associations between childhood BMI and blood pressure were observed in several adjusted data sets.
Conclusions:
Little evidence was found to suggest that childhood obesity is an independent risk factor for CVD risk. Instead, the data suggest that relationships observed are dependent on the tracking of BMI from childhood to adulthood. Importantly, evidence suggests that risk of raised blood pressure is highest in those who are at the lower end of the BMI scale in childhood and overweight in adulthood. The findings challenge the widely accepted view that the presence of childhood obesity is an independent risk factor for CVD and that this period should be a priority for public health intervention. Although interventions during childhood may be important in prevention of adult obesity, it is important to avoid the potential for negative consequences when the timing coincides with critical stages of neurological, behavioural and physical development.
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