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Does greater adiposity increase blood pressure and hypertension risk?: Mendelian randomization using the FTO/MC4R
Nicholas J Timpson1, Roger Harbord, George Davey Smith
1Medical Research Council Centre for Causal Analysis in Translational Epidemiology, Bristol University, United Kingdom.
Insights
Elevated body mass index (BMI) significantly increases blood pressure, raising cardiovascular event risk. Reducing BMI offers substantial benefits for lowering hypertension and related morbidity.
Area of Science:
- Cardiovascular Epidemiology
- Human Genetics
- Metabolic Disorders
Background:
- Elevated blood pressure is a major risk factor for cardiovascular events such as myocardial infarction and stroke.
- Observational studies suggest a causal link between body mass index (BMI) and hypertension, but are susceptible to confounding and reverse causation.
- Unbiased estimation of the association between adiposity and blood pressure is crucial for public health interventions.
Purpose of the Study:
- To estimate the unconfounded and unbiased association between body mass index (BMI) and blood pressure using instrumental variable methods.
- To confirm observational findings regarding the relationship between BMI and hypertension, mitigating potential biases.
Main Methods:
- Utilized instrumental variable analysis within the Copenhagen General Population Study.
- Employed specific genetic variants, rs9939609 (FTO) and rs17782313 (MC4R), as instrumental variables for BMI.
- Accounted for participants receiving antihypertensive medication through appropriate adjustments.
Main Results:
- Confirmed a positive association between BMI and blood pressure, free from confounding and reverse causation.
- A 10% increase in BMI was associated with a 3.85 mm Hg rise in systolic blood pressure (P=0.0002).
- A 10% increase in BMI was associated with a 1.79 mm Hg rise in diastolic blood pressure (P=0.002).
Conclusions:
- Body mass index has a significant causal impact on blood pressure.
- The observed associations are substantial, highlighting the potential for considerable reductions in cardiovascular morbidity.
- Reducing body mass index presents a key strategy for mitigating hypertension and its associated health risks.
Abstract:
Elevated blood pressure increases the risk of experiencing cardiovascular events like myocardial infarction and stroke. Current observational data suggest that body mass index may have a causal role in the etiology of hypertension, but this may be influenced by confounding and reverse causation. Through the use of instrumental variable methods, we aim to estimate the strength of the unconfounded and unbiased association between body mass index/adiposity and blood pressure. We explore these issues in the Copenhagen General Population Study. We used instrumental variable methods to obtain estimates of the causal association between body mass index and blood pressure. This was performed using both rs9939609 (FTO) and rs17782313 (MC4R) genotypes as instruments for body mass index. Avoiding the epidemiological problems of confounding, bias, and reverse causation, we confirmed observational associations between body mass index and blood pressure. In analyses including those taking antihypertensive drugs, but for whom appropriate adjustment had been made, systolic blood pressure was seen to increase by 3.85 mm Hg (95% CI: 1.88 to 5.83 mm Hg) for each 10% increase in body mass index (P=0.0002), with diastolic blood pressure showing an increase of 1.79 mm Hg (95% CI: 0.68 to 2.90 mm Hg) for each 10% increase in body mass index (P=0.002). Observed associations are large and illustrate the considerable benefits in terms of reductions in blood pressure-related morbidity that could be achieved through a reduction in body mass index.
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