Improved long-term survival after abdominal aortic aneurysm repair

Treatment of abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA) has changed significantly over the past 2 decades. In this perspective, time trends in long-term survival were studied.

We identified 8663 primary intact and 4171 ruptured AAA repairs in the Swedish Vascular Registry from 1987 to 2005. Mortality was obtained from the national population registry. Crude survival was analyzed, including all mortality. To analyze the long-term outcome among those surviving the AAA repair, relative survival, which denotes the survival rate of patients compared with that of the general population adjusted for age, sex, and calendar year, was calculated, excluding 90-day mortality. In a comparison of AAA repairs from 1987 to 1999 and 2000 to 2005, age (71.4 versus 72.5 years; P<0.001), patients with comorbidities (65.0% versus 68.5%; P<0.001), and endovascular repair (1.6% versus 17.0%; P<0.001) increased. After intact AAA repair, crude 5-year survival was 69.0% (99% confidence interval [CI], 67.7 to 70.4), and relative 5-year survival excluding 90-day mortality was 90.3% (99% CI, 88.6 to 92.0). Relative 5-year survival was better for those operated on from 2000 to 2005 compared with 1987 to 1999 (difference, 4.7%; 99% CI, 1.3 to 8.1), for men versus women (4.6%; 99% CI, 0.4 to 8.8), and for octogenarians versus patients <80 years of age (10.2%; 99% CI, 1.5 to 18.8); no difference was observed between open and endovascular repair (6.0%; 99% CI, -1.5 to 13.4). After ruptured AAA repair, crude 5-year survival was 41.7% (99% CI, 39.6 to 43.7) and relative 5-year survival was 87.1% (99% CI, 83.9 to 90.3). No significant differences in relative 5-year survival were observed between time periods, sex, or age groups.

Long-term survival improved over time after intact AAA repair despite a change in case mix toward older patients with more comorbidities. Long-term survival was stable after ruptured AAA repair.