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Predictors of 30-day and 1-year mortality after primary percutaneous coronary intervention for ST-elevation
Saman Rasoul1, Jan Paul Ottervanger, Menko-Jan de Boer
1Isala Klinieken, Locatie Weezenlanden, Department of Cardiology, Zwolle, The Netherlands.
Insights
Predictors of early and late mortality after ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) differ. While some factors like diabetes predict both 30-day and 1-year death, others like multivessel disease are specific to early mortality.
Area of Science:
- Cardiovascular Medicine
- Interventional Cardiology
- Clinical Outcomes Research
Background:
- Predictors of mortality following ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) can vary significantly between early (30-day) and late (1-year) post-treatment phases.
- Understanding these distinct predictors is crucial for optimizing patient management and improving long-term survival after primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI).
Purpose of the Study:
- To identify and compare the predictors of 30-day and 1-year mortality in a large cohort of unselected patients with STEMI treated with primary PCI.
- To determine if factors influencing early mortality differ from those impacting mortality beyond the acute phase.
Main Methods:
- Prospective data collection from 4732 patients with STEMI undergoing primary PCI over an 11-year period.
- Analysis of patient characteristics, 30-day mortality, and 1-year mortality among 30-day survivors.
- Age and sex-adjusted multivariate analysis to identify significant predictors for both time points.
Main Results:
- Overall 30-day mortality was 4.6%, with an additional 2.8% mortality among 30-day survivors by 1 year.
- Older age, higher risk profiles, Killip class >2, multivessel disease, and lower left ventricular ejection fraction were associated with increased mortality.
- Predictors for both 30-day and 1-year mortality included previous myocardial infarction, diabetes, Killip class >2, poor post-PCI flow, and LVEF <30%.
- Multivessel disease, anterior infarct location, in-hospital reinfarction, and longer ischemic times were particularly strong predictors of 30-day mortality.
Conclusions:
- While many mortality predictors are shared between the 30-day and 1-year post-STEMI periods, distinct factors significantly influence early versus later outcomes.
- These findings highlight the need for tailored risk stratification and management strategies that address both acute and long-term risks in STEMI patients.
Objective:
Predictors of 30-day mortality may differ from predictors of mortality at 1 year among 30-day survivors of ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) treated with primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). We aimed to evaluate the predictors of 30-day and 1-year mortality in unselected patients with STEMI treated with PCI.
Methods:
Individual patient data from 4732 patients with STEMI, who were treated with primary PCI during an 11-year study period, were recorded prospectively. Patient characteristics, 30-day, and 1-year outcome were evaluated.
Results:
At 30-day follow-up, 219 patients (4.6%) died; and out of the 4513 30-day survivors, 109 patients (2.8%) died at 1 year. Patients who died were older, had a higher risk profile. Higher rates of Killip class greater than 2 on admission, multivessel disease, and, more often, lower left ventricular ejection fraction were observed in patients who died. Mortality rate was 7.6% at 30 days among the females when compared with 3.7 among the males, P value less than 0.001. Age and sex-adjusted multivariate analysis revealed that previous myocardial infarction, diabetes, Killip class greater than 2, post-PCI thrombolysis in myocardial infarction flow less than 3, and left ventricular ejection fraction less than 30% were strong predictors of both 30-day and 1-year mortality. However, multivessel disease, anterior myocardial infarct location and in-hospital reinfarction, ischemic time, and pre-PCI thrombolysis in myocardial infarction flow less than 3 were particularly strong predictors of 30-day mortality.
Conclusion:
Despite the fact that most characteristics of 30-day and 1-year mortality among 30-day survivors are similar, we found that variables that affect mortality beyond the acute phase may not necessarily be the same as those that influence early mortality.
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