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Updated: Jun 21, 2026

Catheter Ablation in Combination With Left Atrial Appendage Closure for Atrial Fibrillation
Published on: February 26, 2013
Atrial fibrillation significantly increases total mortality and stroke risk beyond that conveyed by the CHADS2 risk
Mark A Crandall1, Benjamin D Horne, John D Day
1Department of Internal Medicine, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA.
Insights
Atrial fibrillation (AF) independently increases the risk of stroke, myocardial infarction, and death. The CHADS2 score also predicts these adverse cardiovascular events, confirming AF as a significant risk factor.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Clinical Research
- Epidemiology
Background:
- Atrial fibrillation (AF) is linked to higher mortality and stroke rates.
- The independent contribution of AF to these risks versus being a marker for other conditions remains unclear.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate whether atrial fibrillation (AF) is an independent risk factor for adverse cardiovascular outcomes.
- To evaluate the predictive power of the CHADS2 score in patients undergoing angiography.
Main Methods:
- Studied consecutive patients without prior AF history undergoing angiography for suspected coronary artery disease.
- Recorded traditional CHADS2 risk factors (congestive heart failure, hypertension, age, diabetes, stroke/TIA).
Main Results:
- In 343 AF patients and 2,945 non-AF patients, AF was an independent predictor of stroke, myocardial infarction (MI), death, and major adverse cardiac events (MACE).
- The CHADS2 score significantly and incrementally increased the risk of stroke, death, and MACE in both AF and non-AF groups.
Conclusions:
- The CHADS2 score effectively predicts stroke and death.
- Atrial fibrillation is confirmed as an independent risk factor for future cardiovascular disease, including stroke, MI, and mortality.
Background:
Atrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with an increased risk of mortality and stroke. However, it is unclear if AF is independently associated with these poor outcomes or it is merely a risk marker of other processes that convey the risk.
Methods:
Consecutive patients who underwent angiography for suspicion of coronary artery disease, but without a history of AF, were studied. Traditional CHADS2 (congestive heart failure, hypertension, age >75 years, diabetes, stroke/transient ischemic attack) risk factors for each patient were recorded.
Results:
A total of 343 AF patients (age = 69 +/- 10 years, 215 [63%] male) and 2,945 non-AF patients (age = 63 +/- 12 years, 2,012 [67%] male) were studied. Among AF patients, 51 (15%) had a myocardial infarction (MI), 35 (10%) had a stroke, and 180 (52%) died. CHADS2 score incrementally increased risk of stroke (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] for 1:1.92, 2:2.30, 3:1.14, 4:3.83, 5:10.96; P-trend = 0.14), death (HR for 1:1.83, 2:2.34, 3:3.69, 4:2.27, 5:4.53; P-trend < 0.001), and major adverse cardiac event (MACE)(HR for 1:1.29, 2:1.54, 3:2.07, 4:2.41, 5:2.68; P-trend = 0.002). Among non-AF patients, CHADS2 score incrementally increased risk of stroke (HR for 1:1.18, 2:3.17, 3:5.08, 4:10.78, 5:7.50; P-trend < 0.001), MI (HR for 1:1.05, 2:1.46, 3:1.57, 4:0.53, 5:4.76; P-trend = 0.002), death (HR for 1:1.79, 2:3.22, 3:6.23, 4:9.09, 5:14.00; P-trend < 0.001), and MACE (HR for 1:1.47, 2:2.36, 3:4.16, 4:5.91, 5:7.56; P-trend < 0.001). Among all patients, both CHADS2 score (all P < or = 0.001) and AF were independent risk factors for stroke (AF: P = 0.002), MI (AF: P = 0.035), death (AF: P < 0.001), and MACE (AF: P < 0.001).
Conclusion:
The CHADS2 score is a powerful predictor of stroke and death. AF increases the risk of these outcomes in an independent manner. These data support the concept that AF is a risk factor of future cardiovascular disease.
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