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Five year prognosis in patients with angina identified in primary care: incident cohort study
Brian S Buckley1, Colin R Simpson, David J McLernon
1Department of General Practice, National University of Ireland, Galway, Ireland. bsbuckley@iol.ie
Insights
Patients newly diagnosed with angina face significant risks of heart attack and death, with factors like male sex, increasing age, smoking, and obesity worsening outcomes. Optimal preventive treatments are crucial for managing angina patients and minimizing adverse events.
Area of Science:
- Cardiovascular Medicine
- Epidemiology
- Public Health
Background:
- Angina pectoris is a significant manifestation of ischaemic heart disease.
- Understanding long-term risks following a new angina diagnosis is crucial for patient management.
- Primary care data provides a valuable resource for studying incident cardiovascular conditions.
Purpose of the Study:
- To assess the five-year risk of acute myocardial infarction, invasive cardiac procedures, and mortality in patients with newly diagnosed angina.
- To identify demographic, lifestyle, and comorbidity factors associated with adverse outcomes.
- To evaluate the impact of invasive cardiac procedures on subsequent mortality.
Main Methods:
- An incident cohort study utilizing linked primary care, secondary care, and mortality data from 40 Scottish practices.
- 1785 patients diagnosed with angina as their first manifestation of ischaemic heart disease were followed for five years.
- Adjusted hazard ratios were calculated for key cardiovascular events and mortality, controlling for baseline characteristics.
Main Results:
- Male sex, increasing age, smoking, and obesity were significantly associated with increased risks of acute myocardial infarction, ischaemic heart disease death, and all-cause mortality.
- Chronic kidney disease showed a very high risk for death from ischaemic heart disease.
- Acute myocardial infarction following angina diagnosis strongly predicted subsequent mortality; invasive procedures showed no significant mortality benefit.
Conclusions:
- Significant sex differences exist in survival post-angina diagnosis, alongside age and sex disparities in revascularisation rates.
- Acute myocardial infarction is a potent predictor of mortality in patients with incident angina.
- Emphasizing optimal preventive strategies in primary care is essential for improving outcomes in angina patients.
Objective:
To ascertain the risk of acute myocardial infarction, invasive cardiac procedures, and mortality among patients with newly diagnosed angina over five years.
Design:
Incident cohort study of patients with primary care data linked to secondary care and mortality data.
Setting:
40 primary care practices in Scotland.
Participants:
1785 patients with a diagnosis of angina as their first manifestation of ischaemic heart disease, 1 January 1998 to 31 December 2001.
Main Outcome Measures:
Adjusted hazard ratios for acute myocardial infarction, coronary artery bypass grafting, percutaneous transluminal coronary angioplasty, death from ischaemic heart disease, and all cause mortality, adjusted for demographics, lifestyle risk factors, and comorbidity at cohort entry.
Results:
Mean age was 62.3 (SD 11.3). Male sex was associated with an increased risk of acute myocardial infarction (hazard ratio 2.01, 95% confidence interval 1.35 to 2.97), death from ischaemic heart disease (2.80, 1.73 to 4.53), and all cause mortality (1.82, 1.33 to 2.49). Increasing age was associated with acute myocardial infarction (1.04, 1.02 to 1.06, per year of age increase), death from ischaemic heart disease (1.09, 1.06 to 1.11, per year of age increase), and all cause mortality (1.09, 1.07 to 1.11, per year of age increase). Smoking was associated with subsequent acute myocardial infarction (1.94, 1.31 to 2.89), death from ischaemic heart disease (2.12, 1.32 to 3.39), and all cause mortality (2.11, 1.52 to 2.95). Obesity was associated with death from ischaemic heart disease (2.01, 1.17 to 3.45) and all cause mortality (2.20, 1.52 to 3.19). Previous stroke was associated with all cause mortality (1.78, 1.13 to 2.80) and chronic kidney disease with death from ischaemic heart disease (5.72, 1.74 to 18.79). Men were more likely than women to have coronary artery bypass grafting or percutaneous transluminal coronary angioplasty after a diagnosis of angina; older people were less likely to receive percutaneous transluminal coronary angioplasty. Acute myocardial infarction after a diagnosis of angina was associated with an increased risk of death from ischaemic heart disease and all cause mortality (8.84 (5.31 to 14.71) and 4.23 (2.78 to 6.43), respectively). Neither of the invasive cardiac procedures significantly reduced the subsequent risk of all cause mortality.
Conclusions:
In this sample of people with incident angina from primary care, there were sex differences in survival and age and sex differences in the provision of revascularisation after a diagnosis. Acute myocardial infarction after a diagnosis of angina was strongly predictive of mortality. To minimise adverse outcomes, optimal preventive treatments should be used in patients with angina.
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