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Measuring Delay Discounting in Humans Using an Adjusting Amount Task
07:47

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Published on: January 9, 2016

Time preference bias in time trade-off.

Marjon van der Pol1, Larissa Roux

  • 1Department of Community Health Sciences, University of Calgary, Canada. m.vanderpol@abdn.ac.uk

The European Journal of Health Economics : HEPAC : Health Economics in Prevention and Care
|September 30, 2009
PubMed
Summary

Adjusting time trade-off (TTO) values for individual time preferences did not improve consistency. However, using standard discount rates violates the constant proportional trade-off (CPTO) assumption, indicating they should be avoided in economic evaluations.

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Area of Science:

  • Health Economics
  • Decision Analysis
  • Behavioral Economics

Background:

  • Time trade-off (TTO) is a method for measuring preferences for health states.
  • Adjusting TTO values for individual time preferences is proposed to improve consistency.
  • The constant proportional trade-off (CPTO) assumption is a key theoretical underpinning for TTO.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To assess if TTO values adjusted for individual time preferences are more consistent with stated preferences.
  • To test the CPTO assumption using both unadjusted and adjusted TTO values.
  • To evaluate the impact of using individual-specific versus standard discount rates.

Main Methods:

  • The study involved testing the CPTO assumption.
  • TTO values were analyzed both unadjusted and adjusted for individual time preferences.
  • Both individual-specific and standard discount rates were applied.

Main Results:

  • The mean adjustment factor for time preferences was approximately 0.03.
  • The CPTO assumption held for both unadjusted and adjusted TTO values.
  • The CPTO assumption was violated when standard discount rates were used.

Conclusions:

  • Standard discount rates should be avoided in economic evaluations due to CPTO violation.
  • Further research is needed to explore time preference bias and other biases in TTO.
  • The study did not definitively conclude whether adjusted TTO values are more consistent with preferences.