Electrocardiographic amplitudes: a new risk factor for sudden death in hypertrophic cardiomyopathy
Ingegerd Ostman-Smith1, Aase Wisten, Eva Nylander
1Division of Paediatrics, Department of Clinical Sciences, Sahlgrenska Academy, Gothenburg University, Queen Silvia Childreńs Hospital, SE-416 85 Gothenburg, Sweden. ingegerd.ostman-smith@pediat.gu.se
Insights
Electrocardiogram (ECG) amplitude measurements can predict sudden death risk in hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) patients. Specific ECG criteria offer high sensitivity and negative predictive value for identifying individuals at risk.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Medical Diagnostics
- Biomedical Engineering
Background:
- Hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) is a significant cause of sudden cardiac death.
- Accurate risk stratification is crucial for managing HCM patients.
- Traditional risk factors may not fully capture the risk of sudden death in HCM.
Purpose of the Study:
- To assess the predictive value of electrocardiogram (ECG) features for sudden death in adults with HCM.
- To identify specific ECG parameters that can differentiate HCM patients at high risk of cardiac arrest (HCM-CA) from the general HCM cohort and healthy individuals.
Main Methods:
- ECG-amplitude sums, amplitude-duration products, and qualitative ECG findings were analyzed.
- Measurements were taken in normal individuals, athletes, a general HCM cohort, and HCM patients with a history of sudden death or cardiac arrest (HCM-CA).
- Statistical analysis, including odds ratios, sensitivity, specificity, and negative predictive values, was performed to evaluate predictive capabilities.
Main Results:
- HCM-CA patients exhibited significantly higher ECG-amplitude sums and amplitude-duration products compared to the general HCM cohort.
- Specific thresholds for limb-lead QRS-amplitude sum, 12-lead amplitude-duration product, and limb-lead amplitude-duration product demonstrated high sensitivity and negative predictive value for identifying HCM-CA.
- Pathological T-wave inversion, ST-depression, and dominant S-wave in V(4) correlated with cardiac arrest. A proposed risk score showed excellent separation between HCM-CA and athletes.
Conclusions:
- Twelve-lead ECG is a potent tool for risk-stratification in HCM.
- Specific ECG amplitude and qualitative features can effectively identify HCM patients at high risk of sudden cardiac death.
- The developed risk score offers a promising method for precise risk assessment in HCM.
Aims:
Assessment of ECG-features as predictors of sudden death in adults with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM).
Methods And Results:
ECG-amplitude sums were measured in 44 normals, 34 athletes, a hospital-cohort of 87 HCM-patients, and 29 HCM-patients with sudden death or cardiac arrest (HCM-CA). HCM-patients with sudden death or cardiac arrest had substantially higher ECG-amplitudes than the HCM-cohort for limb-lead and 12-lead QRS-amplitude sums, and amplitude-duration products (P = 0.00003-P = 0.000002). Separation of HCM-CA from the HCM-cohort is obtained by limb-lead QRS-amplitude sum >or=7.7 mV (odds ratio 18.8, sensitivity 87%, negative predictive value (NPV) 94%, P < 0.0001), 12-lead amplitude-duration product >or=2.2 mV s (odds ratio 31.0, sensitivity 92%, NPV 97%, P < 0.0001), and limb-lead amplitude-duration product >or=0.70 mV s (odds ratio 31.5, sensitivity 93%, NPV 96%, P < 0.0001). Sensitivity in HCM-patients <40 years is 90, 100, and 100% for those ECG-variables, respectively. Qualitative analysis showed correlation with cardiac arrest for pathological T-wave-inversion (P = 0.0003), ST-depression (P = 0.0010), and dominant S-wave in V(4) (P = 0.0048). A risk score is proposed; a score >or=6 gives a sensitivity of 85% but a higher positive predictive value than above measures. Optimal separation between HCM-CA <40 years and athletes is obtained by a risk score >or=6 (odds ratio 345, sensitivity 85%, specificity 100%, P < 0.0001).
Conclusion:
Twelve-lead ECG is a powerful instrument for risk-stratification in HCM.
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