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Published on: September 12, 2016
Determinants of survival in progressive multifocal leukoencephalopathy
A Marzocchetti1, T Tompkins, D B Clifford
1Division of Viral Pathogenesis, BIDMC, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA 02215, USA.
Background:
We sought to characterize the role of immunologic, virologic, and radiologic determinants of survival in patients with progressive multifocal leukoencephalopathy (PML).
Methods:
We recorded the clinical outcome of 60 patients with PML (73% HIV+) who were prospectively evaluated between 2000 and 2007 for the presence of JC virus (JCV)-specific CD8+ cytotoxic T-lymphocytes (CTL) in blood.
Results:
Estimated probability of survival at 1 year was 52% for HIV+/PML and 58% for HIV- patients with PML. Patients with PML with detectable CTL within 3 months of diagnosis had a 1-year estimated survival of 73% compared to 46% for those without CTL (hazard ratio [HR] for death = 0.47, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.13-1.75, p = 0.26). Patients with CTL response had an increased likelihood of having contrast enhancement of PML lesions and immune reconstitution inflammatory syndrome (odds ratio 3.7 and 7.8). Estimated 1-year survival was 48% in HIV+ patients with PML with CD4 count <200/microL at PML diagnosis compared to 67% in those with CD4 >200/microL (HR for death 1.41, 95% CI 0.27-7.38, p = 0.68). JCV DNA was detected in the urine of 48% and in the blood of 56% of patients with PML, but viruria and viremia were not associated with survival.
Conclusions:
The presence of JC virus (JCV)-specific cytotoxic T-lymphocytes (CTL) was associated with a trend toward longer survival in patients with progressive multifocal leukoencephalopathy (PML), which was more pronounced than the impact of CD4 count in HIV+ patients with PML early after diagnosis. Despite the association of contrast enhancement and immune reconstitution inflammatory syndrome with JCV-specific CTL, these cannot be considered as surrogate markers for the prognostic value of the CTL. Strategies aiming at improving the cellular immune response may improve the course of PML.
Insights
JC virus (JCV)-specific cytotoxic T-lymphocytes (CTL) showed a trend toward improved survival in progressive multifocal leukoencephalopathy (PML) patients. Enhancing cellular immunity may benefit PML outcomes.
Area of Science:
- Neuroimmunology
- Virology
- Infectious Diseases
Background:
- Progressive multifocal leukoencephalopathy (PML) is a severe demyelinating disease.
- Understanding survival determinants in PML is crucial for patient management.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate immunologic, virologic, and radiologic factors influencing survival in PML patients.
- To assess the prognostic value of JC virus (JCV)-specific CD8+ cytotoxic T-lymphocytes (CTLs) in PML.
Main Methods:
- Prospective evaluation of 60 PML patients (73% HIV+) from 2000-2007.
- Measurement of JCV-specific CD8+ CTLs in blood.
- Analysis of clinical outcomes, including survival rates and CD4 counts.
Main Results:
- One-year survival was 52% for HIV+/PML and 58% for HIV- PML patients.
- Detectable CTLs within 3 months of diagnosis correlated with higher 1-year survival (73% vs. 46%).
- JCV DNA in urine or blood did not significantly impact survival.
Conclusions:
- JCV-specific CTL presence trended towards longer survival in PML patients.
- CTL response showed a more pronounced effect than CD4 count in HIV+ PML patients early on.
- Strategies to boost cellular immune response may improve PML prognosis.
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