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Vaccinations01:51

Vaccinations

Overview

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Use of an Influenza Antigen Microarray to Measure the Breadth of Serum Antibodies Across Virus Subtypes
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Estimating influenza vaccine effectiveness using routinely collected laboratory data.

D M Fleming1, N J Andrews, J S Ellis

  • 1Royal College of General Practitioners Research and Surveillance Centre, Lordswood House, 54 Lordswood Road, Harborne, Birmingham B17 9DB, UK. dfleming@rcgpbhamresunit.nhs.uk

Journal of Epidemiology and Community Health
|November 14, 2009
PubMed
Summary

Routine virological surveillance data can provide real-time estimates of influenza vaccine effectiveness (V/E). This approach is feasible for evaluating national vaccination programs, especially during outbreaks.

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Last Updated: Jun 18, 2026

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Published on: July 26, 2019

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Area of Science:

  • Epidemiology
  • Public Health
  • Virology

Background:

  • Timely estimation of influenza vaccine effectiveness (V/E) is crucial for managing outbreaks and pandemic preparedness.
  • Existing methods may not provide real-time V/E data needed for rapid public health responses.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To assess the utility of routinely collected virological surveillance data for generating real-time V/E estimates during influenza seasons.
  • To determine if this approach can be integrated into national influenza vaccination program evaluations.

Main Methods:

  • Utilized integrated clinical and virological surveillance data from three winter seasons (2004/5–2006/7).
  • Calculated odds of vaccination in influenza-positive versus influenza-negative individuals.
  • Employed logistic regression to adjust V/E estimates for confounding factors like age and sampling month.

Main Results:

  • Adjusted V/E estimates varied annually, with figures like 67% in 2005/6 and 55% in 2006/7.
  • Vaccine effectiveness was higher in individuals under 65 years (70%) compared to those 65 and over (46%).
  • Minor variations in V/E estimates were observed based on influenza type, time from illness onset to sampling, season period, and viral load.

Conclusions:

  • Demonstrated the potential of routine surveillance data for early-season V/E estimation.
  • Concluded that this method is feasible for evaluating national influenza vaccination programs.
  • Highlights the value of integrated clinical and virological data for public health decision-making.