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Modelling early recovery patterns after paediatric traumatic brain injury
Rob J Forsyth1, Cynthia F Salorio, James R Christensen
1Sir James Spence Institute, Royal Victoria Infirmary, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne NE1 4LP, UK. r.j.forsyth@newcastle.ac.uk
Insights
This study analyzed early recovery patterns in children with traumatic brain injury (TBI) using the WeeFIM scale. Early recovery indicators, like time to follow commands, can predict functional outcomes in pediatric TBI rehabilitation.
Area of Science:
- Neurology
- Rehabilitation Medicine
- Pediatrics
Background:
- Traumatic brain injury (TBI) in children necessitates inpatient rehabilitation.
- Understanding early recovery patterns is crucial for predicting functional outcomes.
- The WeeFIM scale is a validated measure of functional independence in children.
Purpose of the Study:
- To describe the range of early recovery patterns in pediatric TBI patients.
- To develop simple predictive models for expected recovery trajectories.
- To identify early indicators of recovery in children post-TBI.
Main Methods:
- Analysis of 103 pediatric admissions to a neurological rehabilitation facility post-TBI.
- Utilized repeated WeeFIM scores to construct recovery trajectories.
- Employed non-linear mixed effects modeling to define typical recoveries and identify predictors.
Main Results:
- WeeFIM recovery curves exhibited a sigmoidal pattern: slow initial phase, rapid mid-phase improvement, and plateau.
- Final WeeFIM scores varied widely (median 105), with significant range in time to reach 50% of final score (median 27 days).
- Time to follow commands (TFC) correlated with final WeeFIM scores and time to reach 50% improvement, serving as a key predictor.
Conclusions:
- Simple predictive models for pediatric TBI recovery can be developed using early recovery indices like TFC.
- These models facilitate informed discussions with families regarding expected recovery rates and confidence intervals.
- Such models can aid in identifying children with better- or worse-than-expected recovery trajectories.
Objective:
To describe the range of early recovery patterns seen in children admitted for inpatient rehabilitation after traumatic brain injury and to build simple predictive models of expected recovery.
Patients:
103 consecutive paediatric admissions to a neurological rehabilitation facility after closed head injury.
Methods:
Children's recoveries were defined by repeated scores on the WeeFIM (a validated paediatric measure of functional independence) assembled into recovery trajectories. Non-linear mixed effects modelling was used to define 'typical' recoveries and to identify useful simple predictor variables.
Results:
WeeFIM recovery curves showed a characteristic sigmoidal form with an initial slow phase followed by a mid-phase of fastest improvement and a late plateau. Final WeeFIM scores ranged from 18 to 125 (median 105, IQR 87-117). The time taken to reach 50% final WeeFIM score ranged from 5 to 145 days (median 27, IQR 17-46). Both final WeeFIM and time to reach 50% final WeeFIM correlated with time to follow commands (TFC), defined as the post-injury day on which a child was first observed to follow two simple commands in a 24 h period.
Conclusions:
Simple models predicting outcome trajectory can be built incorporating early rate-of recovery indices (such as TFC) as proxies of injury severity. Such models allow informed discussion with families of likely rates of progress and the CI on these estimates. Models of this nature also potentially allow identification of children making better- or worse-than expected recoveries.
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