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APACHE IV versus PPI for predicting community hospital ICU mortality
Shaffer R Shrope-Mok1, Katie A Propst, Rajesh Iyengar
1Jackson Park Hospital Department of Geriatrics, Wound Care and Palliative Care, Chicago, IL, USA. Sshropemok@aol.com
The American Journal of Hospice & Palliative Care
|December 5, 2009
Summary
The Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) IV and Palliative Performance Index (PPI) scales both predict intensive care unit (ICU) mortality. APACHE IV showed higher accuracy in predicting mortality and survival.
Area of Science:
- Critical Care Medicine
- Prognostic Modeling
- Health Services Research
Background:
- Prognostic scales are vital for estimating outcomes in intensive care units (ICUs).
- The Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) IV and Palliative Performance Index (PPI) are commonly used for ICU prognosis and mortality prediction.
Purpose of the Study:
- To compare the diagnostic utility of the PPI and APACHE IV.
- To evaluate their implications in predicting ICU mortality within a community hospital setting.
Main Methods:
- A prospective cohort study was conducted.
- 211 patients admitted to a community hospital ICU were enrolled.
- APACHE IV and PPI scores were assessed within 24 hours of admission.
Main Results:
- Both APACHE IV and PPI significantly predicted ICU mortality (P < .002 and P < .001, respectively).
- APACHE IV demonstrated higher sensitivity (84.6%) and specificity (96.0%) compared to PPI (69.2% sensitivity, 96.0% specificity).
- APACHE IV showed a higher positive predictive value (PPV) and negative predictive value (NPV) for mortality prediction.
Conclusions:
- Both APACHE IV and PPI are significant tools for predicting ICU mortality in community hospitals.
- APACHE IV appears to be a more accurate predictor, effectively ruling in mortality and ruling out survival.
- Potential limitations include the subjective nature of PPI and GCS, and APACHE IV criterion.
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