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Predictors of the first cardiovascular event in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus - a prospective cohort
Johanna Gustafsson1, Iva Gunnarsson, Ola Börjesson
1Rheumatology Unit, Department of Medicine Karolinska University Hospital, Solna, Karolinska Institutet, SE-171 76 Stockholm, Sweden. johanna.gustafsson@karolinska.se
Insights
Cardiovascular events (CVEs) in Systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) patients are predicted by age, positive antiphospholipid antibodies (aPL), and markers of endothelial activation. Absence of thrombocytopenia also indicates higher CVE risk in SLE patients.
Area of Science:
- Rheumatology
- Cardiology
- Immunology
Background:
- Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is a leading cause of premature death in Systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) patients.
- Prospective studies evaluating risk factors for hard cardiovascular events (CVEs) in SLE are limited.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate traditional and SLE-associated risk factors for the first occurrence of CVEs in a longitudinal SLE cohort.
Main Methods:
- 182 SLE patients without prior CVEs were followed for a mean of 8.3 years.
- Baseline cardiovascular and autoimmune biomarkers, clinical information, and SLE manifestations were assessed.
- Cox regression analysis was used to evaluate predictors of first CVE.
Main Results:
- 13% of patients experienced a first CVE.
- Predictors included age, positive antiphospholipid antibodies (aPL), elevated endothelial activation markers (von Willebrand factor, sVCAM-1), and fibrinogen.
- Absence of thrombocytopenia, arthritis, pleuritis, and previous venous occlusion were also associated with CVE risk.
Conclusions:
- Age, positive aPL, endothelial activation markers, and absence of thrombocytopenia are independent predictors of CVEs in SLE.
- Endothelial activation and coagulation system activation are key in SLE-related CVD.
- CVE risk may vary among different SLE patient subgroups.
Introduction:
Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is a major cause of premature mortality among Systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) patients. Many studies have measured and evaluated risk factors for premature subclinical atherosclerosis, but few studies are prospective and few have evaluated risk factors for hard endpoints, i.e. clinically important cardiovascular events (CVE). We investigated the impact of traditional and lupus associated risk factors for the first ever CVE in a longitudinal cohort of SLE patients.
Methods:
A total of 182 SLE patients (mean age 43.9 years) selected to be free of CVE were included. Cardiovascular and autoimmune biomarkers were measured on samples collected after overnight fasting at baseline. Clinical information was collected at baseline and at follow up. End point was the first ever CVE (ischemic heart, cerebrovascular or peripheral vascular disease or death due to CVD). Impact of baseline characteristics/biomarkers on the risk of having a first CVE was evaluated with Cox regression.
Results:
Follow up was 99.5% after a mean time of 8.3 years. Twenty-four patients (13%) had a first CVE. In age-adjusted Cox regression, any positive antiphospholipid antibody (aPL), elevated markers of endothelial activation (von Willebrand factor (vWf), soluble vascular cellular adhesion molecule-1 (sVCAM-1)) and fibrinogen predicted CVEs. Of SLE manifestations, arthritis, pleuritis and previous venous occlusion were positively associated with future CVEs while thrombocytopenia was negatively associated. Among traditional risk factors only age and smoking were significant predictors. In a multivariable Cox regression model age, any positive aPL, vWf and absence of thrombocytopenia were all predictors of the first CVE.
Conclusions:
In addition to age, positive aPL, biomarkers indicating increased endothelial cell activity/damage, and absence of thrombocytopenia were independent predictors of CVEs in this prospective study. Our results indicate that activation of the endothelium and the coagulation system are important features in SLE related CVD. Furthermore, we observed that the risk of CVEs seems to differ between subgroups of SLE patients.
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