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Published on: June 7, 2024
Application of nonparametric quantile regression to body mass index percentile curves from survey data
Yan Li1, Barry I Graubard, Edward L Korn
1Biostatistics Branch, National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, MD 20892, USA. liyanna@uta.edu
Insights
This study introduces a new method to create more accurate national body mass index (BMI) percentile curves for children. These improved curves better assess childhood overweight prevalence in the U.S.
Area of Science:
- Pediatrics
- Biostatistics
- Public Health
Background:
- Rising childhood overweight rates in the U.S. necessitate accurate growth assessment tools.
- Previous Body Mass Index (BMI)-for-age curves (CDC, 2000) had limitations in their statistical methodology.
- These limitations may affect the precise estimation of BMI patterns and overweight prevalence in children.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop an improved, nonparametric statistical method for estimating national BMI-for-age percentile curves.
- To re-estimate U.S. national BMI-for-age percentile curves using the new method.
- To provide a more accurate assessment of childhood overweight prevalence.
Main Methods:
- Developed a nonparametric double-kernel-based method with automatic bandwidth selection.
- Incorporated sample weights into bandwidth selection and applied median correction for bias reduction.
- Rescaled bandwidth for scale invariance to enhance curve estimation accuracy.
Main Results:
- Re-estimated national BMI-for-age percentile curves using the advanced nonparametric approach.
- Provided updated prevalence estimates for high-BMI children in the U.S.
- The new method offers a more robust statistical foundation for growth assessment.
Conclusions:
- The developed nonparametric method provides more accurate BMI-for-age percentile curves compared to previous models.
- These enhanced curves offer a superior benchmark for evaluating child growth and overweight status.
- Accurate national curves are crucial for effective clinical and public health interventions regarding childhood obesity.
Abstract:
Increasing rates of overweight among children in the U.S. stimulated interest in obtaining national percentile curves of body size to serve as a benchmark in assessing growth development in clinical and population settings. In 2000, the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) developed conditional percentile curves for body mass index (BMI) for ages 2-20 years. The 2000 CDC BMI-for-age curves are partially parametric and only partially incorporated the survey sample weights in the curve estimation. As a result, they may not fully reflect the underlying pattern of BMI-for-age in the population. This motivated us to develop a nonparametric double-kernel-based method and automatic bandwidth selection procedure. We include sample weights in the bandwidth selection, conduct median correction to reduce small-sample smoothing bias, and rescale the bandwidth to make it scale invariant. Using this procedure we re-estimate the national percentile BMI-for-age curves and the prevalence of high-BMI children in the U.S.
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