Prediction equations for human thoracic and lumbar vertebral morphometry

Statistical correlations between anatomical dimensions of human vertebral structures have indicated a potential for the prediction of vertebral morphometry, which could be applied to the creation of simplified geometrical models of the spine excluding the need for preliminary processing of medical images. The aim of this study was to perform linear and nonlinear regressions with published anatomical data to generate prediction equations for 20 vertebral parameters of the human thoracic and lumbar spine as a function of only one given parameter that was measured by X-ray. Each parameter was considered individually as a potential predictor variable in terms of its correlation with all of the other parameters, together with the readiness with which lateral X-rays could be obtained. Based on this, the parameter vertebral body height posterior was chosen and the statistical analyses described here are related to this parameter. Our linear, exponential and logarithmic regressions provided significant predictions of anterior vertebral structures. However, third-order polynomial prediction equations allowed an improvement on these predictions (P-values < 0.001), e.g. endplates and spinal canal (R(2), 0.970-0.995) as well as pedicle heights and the spinous process (R(2), 0.811-0.882), in addition to a reasonable prediction of the posterior vertebral structures, which have shown a low or no correlation in previous studies, e.g. pedicle inclination and transverse process (R(2), 0.514-0.693) (anova). Comparisons of the theoretical predictions with two other sets of experimental data indicated that the predictions generally agree well with the experimental data. A time-efficient approach for obtaining anatomical data for the description of human thoracic and lumbar geometry was provided by this method, which requires the measurement of only one parameter per vertebra (vertebral body height posterior) from a lateral X-ray and the set of developed prediction equations. Vertebral models based on this type of parameterized geometry could be used in biomechanical studies that require geometry variation, such as in spinal deformations, including scoliosis.