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B-type natriuretic peptide and severe heart failure at baseline predict overall mortality in incident dialysis
1Center of Nephrology, Mettmann, Heinrich Heine University Düsseldorf, Germany. dialyse-mettmann.de
Insights
Higher baseline B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) levels predict death in incident hemodialysis patients. However, severe heart failure is a stronger predictor of overall mortality than BNP in this population.
Area of Science:
- Nephrology
- Cardiology
- Biomarkers
Background:
- B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) is crucial for diagnosing and predicting cardiovascular disease.
- Prospective data on baseline BNP and heart failure as mortality predictors in incident hemodialysis patients are limited.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate baseline BNP and heart failure as predictors of overall mortality in incident end-stage renal disease (ESRD) patients undergoing hemodialysis.
- To investigate the independent predictive value of BNP and severe heart failure on mortality.
Main Methods:
- An observational study included 255 ESRD patients with a median follow-up of 1.11 years.
- Kaplan-Meier survival curves analyzed mortality rates stratified by baseline BNP levels (< 340 pg/ml vs. >= 340 pg/ml).
- Univariate and multiple Cox regression models assessed predictors of death, including severe heart failure (New York Heart Association classification).
Main Results:
- Higher baseline BNP concentrations were associated with significantly increased mortality.
- Multiple Cox regression initially confirmed high BNP as an independent predictor of death.
- However, when severe heart failure was included in the model, it emerged as a stronger predictor of overall death than BNP.
Conclusions:
- Elevated baseline BNP levels predict mortality in incident dialysis patients.
- Severe heart failure significantly influences the predictive impact of BNP on survival.
- Severe heart failure may be a more potent predictor of overall mortality than BNP in this cohort.
Aims:
The B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) has become increasingly important as a diagnostic and prognostic method for cardiovascular disease or death. To our knowledge no prospective studies exist to evaluate the value of baseline BNP and baseline heart failure as predictors of overall death in incident rather than prevalent hemodialysis patients with end-stage renal disease (ESRD).
Methods:
255 ESRD patients were included in our observational study with a median observation period of 1.11 years. A Kaplan-Meier survival curve was stratified by BNP concentration (< 340 pg/ml and > or = 340 pg/ml) to estimate the impact on the overall mortality rate. Univariate and multiple Cox regression models were fitted for a variety of covariables including severe heart failure (graded according to the New York Heart Association) to evaluate the independent predictors of death. Association between BNP and four explanatory variables was described in a multiple linear regression model.
Results:
Survival analysis demonstrated a significantly higher mortality rate in patients with higher BNP values at baseline. The independent predictive value of high BNP concentration at baseline could be statistically confirmed by multiple Cox regression analysis. However, when including the covariates hemoglobin and severe heart failure, significantly associated with BNP, in the same model, severe heart failure rather than BNP becomes a significant predictor of overall death.
Conclusions:
A higher BNP level at baseline may be confirmed as an independent predictor of death in the incident dialysis population. However, severe heart failure may affect the impact of BNP on the overall survival rate and thus be a stronger predictor of death than BNP.
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