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Related Concept Videos

Entropy Change in Reversible Processes01:10

Entropy Change in Reversible Processes

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Random Error01:04

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Age-dependent Dynamics of Locomotion in Caenorhabditis elegans: A Lyapunov Exponent Analysis
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Age-dependent Dynamics of Locomotion in Caenorhabditis elegans: A Lyapunov Exponent Analysis

Published on: September 23, 2025

Robust extremes in chaotic deterministic systems.

Renato Vitolo1, Mark P Holland, Christopher A T Ferro

  • 1School of Engineering, Computing and Mathematics, University of Exeter, Exeter, Devon EX4 4QF, United Kingdom. r.vitolo@exeter.ac.uk

Chaos (Woodbury, N.Y.)
|January 12, 2010
PubMed
Summary
This summary is machine-generated.

This study introduces robust extremes in chaotic systems, showing extreme value statistics smoothly depend on control parameters. This finding enhances extreme value distribution estimation and prediction in nonstationary systems.

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Last Updated: Jun 17, 2026

Age-dependent Dynamics of Locomotion in Caenorhabditis elegans: A Lyapunov Exponent Analysis
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Published on: September 23, 2025

Area of Science:

  • Chaos theory
  • Statistical modeling
  • Dynamical systems

Background:

  • Deterministic chaotic systems often exhibit unpredictable extreme events.
  • Understanding the stability of extreme value statistics is crucial for reliable predictions.

Purpose of the Study:

  • Introduce the concept of robust extremes in deterministic chaotic systems.
  • Develop theoretical results and inferential techniques for robust extremes.
  • Illustrate and prove robustness for specific chaotic models.

Main Methods:

  • Numerical simulations using the Lorenz model.
  • Analytical proofs for one-dimensional Lorenz maps.
  • Formulation of conditions for robust extremes with explicit observables.

Main Results:

  • Demonstrated numerical evidence of robust extremes in the Lorenz system.
  • Provided analytical proof of robustness for specific Lorenz maps and observables.
  • Established conditions for guaranteeing robust extremes.

Conclusions:

  • Robust extremes offer a framework for more precise statistical estimation of extreme value distributions.
  • The concept aids in predicting future extremes in nonstationary systems, as shown with extreme wind speeds in a quasigeostrophic model.