Predicting match grade and waiting time to kidney transplantation

We show how to estimate expected waiting time to transplantation and match grade potential for each patient awaiting kidney transplantation on a multicenter waiting list. We predict that some easily well-matched patients may be unlikely to receive a well-matched graft through accepting an earlier offer of a poorly matched kidney. Other patients, who are difficult to match, may be unlikely to receive even a poorly matched kidney within a reasonable time.